TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049609
Played Aug 31Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111181012911––
Serhii Kushnirenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Serhii Kushnirenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 58.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 50–37 Serhii Kushnirenko Serhii Kushnirenko has won 37 of their 87 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kryshtal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-37 in 87
Kryshtal
Wrong
gap of 13 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1934 vs Kushnirenko 1834
Kryshtal
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 40% vs Kushnirenko 20%
Kryshtal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 40% vs Kushnirenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal +1 · Kushnirenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kryshtal) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kushnirenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.61 / Kushnirenko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kryshtal)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13049609
Kryshtal1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 154 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it96% 85 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it76% 119 of 156
Kushnirenko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 119 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back18% 41 of 224
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal5wins
AwayKushnirenko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal25%1 of 4
AwayKushnirenko33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal4Kushnirenko6n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10
S2Kryshtal6Kushnirenko4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S3Kryshtal9Kushnirenko1n = 10Kryshtal took 9 of 10
S4Kryshtal6Kushnirenko3n = 9Kryshtal took 6 of 9
S5Kryshtal0Kushnirenko5n = 5Kushnirenko took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalKushnirenkoKryshtal − KushnirenkoBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.439.9+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalKushnirenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 725 vs 315 / 76643.5%41.1%315 / 725 vs 315 / 766Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.61/Kushnirenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kushnirenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 06:30D. Kryshtal—16871182S. Kushnirenko—1411115113
LAug 19 · 13:30D. Kryshtal—101113972S. Kushnirenko—1271111113
WAug 18 · 12:30D. Kryshtal—1111113S. Kushnirenko—4880
LAug 16 · 10:33D. Kryshtal—13611662S. Kushnirenko—1111611113
WAug 16 · 09:30D. Kryshtal—61111133S. Kushnirenko—1178111
LAug 15 · 12:30D. Kryshtal—96111152S. Kushnirenko—111189113
WAug 13 · 06:30D. Kryshtal—61111113S. Kushnirenko—115681
WAug 12 · 17:33D. Kryshtal—111111113S. Kushnirenko—139431
LAug 12 · 13:30D. Kryshtal—114115112S. Kushnirenko—911511133
WAug 9 · 09:30D. Kryshtal—81111113S. Kushnirenko—114871
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113LAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130WAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112WAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460LAug 31 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.509101181R. Horokh1.5011128113WAug 29 · 10:03D. Kryshtal2.501411911113R. Horokh1.5016811792
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131WSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880WSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113LAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113LAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113LAug 26 · 10:35D. Kryshtal1.7311118113S. Kushnirenko2.00571191
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