TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049334
Played Aug 31Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012119711119911
Dmytro Yurkov
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Yurkov to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Dmytro Yurkov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 100 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Dmytro Yurkov at 59.3%
100 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 21–64 Dmytro Yurkov Serhii Kushnirenko has won 21 of their 85 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-64 in 85
Yurkov
Correct
gap of 43 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1843 vs Yurkov 1866
Yurkov
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 20% vs Yurkov 60%
Yurkov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 30% vs Yurkov 50%
Yurkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko -4 · Yurkov -1
Kushnirenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kushnirenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 2.20 / Yurkov 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Yurkov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13049334
Kushnirenko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 119 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back18% 41 of 224
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 126
Yurkov1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 75 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it85% 55 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko4wins
AwayYurkov6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko40%2 of 5
AwayYurkov60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S2Kushnirenko2Yurkov8n = 10Yurkov took 8 of 10
S3Kushnirenko6Yurkov4n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10
S4Kushnirenko8Yurkov2n = 10Kushnirenko took 8 of 10
S5Kushnirenko2Yurkov5n = 7Yurkov took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoYurkovK − YBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match47.144.8+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 763 vs 433 / 99241.2%43.7%314 / 763 vs 433 / 992Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.634.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovKushnirenko 2.20/Yurkov 1.61
Hit
What we said
59.3%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko—28111172D. Yurkov—111179113
WJul 27 · 16:58S. Kushnirenko—11713133D. Yurkov—61111111
LJul 27 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko—111191192D. Yurkov—813116113
LJul 25 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko—8111191D. Yurkov—11713113
LJul 21 · 17:09S. Kushnirenko—910111192D. Yurkov—111256113
WJul 21 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko—11612113D. Yurkov—4111091
LJul 20 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko—116911142D. Yurkov—311117163
WJul 11 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko—1111119133D. Yurkov—136911112
LJul 9 · 17:51S. Kushnirenko—11861192D. Yurkov—811117113
WJul 9 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko—9151111113D. Yurkov—11176822
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131WSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880WSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113LAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113LAug 26 · 10:35D. Kryshtal1.7311118113S. Kushnirenko2.00571191
D. Yurkov10
LAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113LAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460LAug 18 · 17:28D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.106860WAug 18 · 16:30D. Yurkov2.3851113113S. Balabei1.531161191WAug 18 · 15:30D. Yurkov1.5791211113S. Kushnirenko2.251110961WAug 18 · 14:00D. Yurkov2.10113711113D. Kryshtal1.6741111692LAug 18 · 13:00D. Yurkov2.25117951R. Horokh1.5791111113WAug 11 · 17:29D. Yurkov2.0011913123D. Kryshtal1.7391111101LAug 11 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.7391111113D. Yurkov2.00118781
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