TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12456417
Played Aug 18Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118116––––
Dmytro Yurkov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Dmytro Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6
53 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 56–54 Dmytro Yurkov Dmytro Yurkov has won 54 of their 110 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.67 / Yurkov 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kryshtal)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12456417
Kryshtal1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 147 of 257
Up 2–0, closes it94% 83 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it75% 116 of 154
Yurkov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 97 of 284
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal6wins
AwayYurkov4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal100%3 of 3
AwayYurkov57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S2Kryshtal10Yurkov0n = 10Kryshtal took 10 of 10
S3Kryshtal6Yurkov4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S4Kryshtal4Yurkov4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalYurkovK − YBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.735.0+4.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime290 / 678 vs 453 / 103342.8%43.9%290 / 678 vs 453 / 1033Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.034.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.67/Yurkov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 14 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—11119113D. Yurkov—791161
LJul 9 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—12119101D. Yurkov—14411123
WJul 7 · 17:04D. Kryshtal—91111113D. Yurkov—117851
LJul 7 · 15:00D. Kryshtal—91111862D. Yurkov—119911113
LJul 2 · 15:00D. Kryshtal—4111081D. Yurkov—11712113
WJul 1 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—141111113D. Yurkov—163591
WJun 27 · 16:30D. Kryshtal—1111113D. Yurkov—8370
WJun 24 · 13:30D. Kryshtal—1211113D. Yurkov—10950
WJun 23 · 12:00D. Kryshtal—31111113D. Yurkov—115761
LJun 22 · 17:33D. Kryshtal—8141381D. Yurkov—111215113
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113LAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130WAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112LAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113WAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460LAug 31 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.509101181R. Horokh1.5011128113
D. Yurkov10
LAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113LAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460WAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113WAug 18 · 16:30D. Yurkov2.3851113113S. Balabei1.531161191WAug 18 · 15:30D. Yurkov1.5791211113S. Kushnirenko2.251110961WAug 18 · 14:00D. Yurkov2.10113711113D. Kryshtal1.6741111692LAug 18 · 13:00D. Yurkov2.25117951R. Horokh1.5791111113WAug 11 · 17:29D. Yurkov2.0011913123D. Kryshtal1.7391111101LAug 11 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.7391111113D. Yurkov2.00118781
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