TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12399018
Played Aug 11Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118117118––
Dmytro Yurkov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Dmytro Yurkov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 54.7%
76 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 56–54 Dmytro Yurkov Dmytro Yurkov has won 54 of their 110 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kryshtal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-54 in 110
Kryshtal
Correct
gap of 2 in 110, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1888 vs Yurkov 1827
Kryshtal
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 20% vs Yurkov 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 30% vs Yurkov 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal -2 · Yurkov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kryshtal) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.73 / Yurkov 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kryshtal)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12399018
Kryshtal1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 143 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it94% 82 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it76% 114 of 151
Yurkov2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 97 of 289
Down 0–1, comes back14% 23 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal6wins
AwayYurkov4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal100%3 of 3
AwayYurkov57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S2Kryshtal10Yurkov0n = 10Kryshtal took 10 of 10
S3Kryshtal6Yurkov4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S4Kryshtal4Yurkov4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalYurkovK − YBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.735.0+4.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 653 vs 457 / 104442.6%43.8%278 / 653 vs 457 / 1044Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.934.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.73/Yurkov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 14 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—11119113D. Yurkov—791161
LJul 9 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—12119101D. Yurkov—14411123
WJul 7 · 17:04D. Kryshtal—91111113D. Yurkov—117851
LJul 7 · 15:00D. Kryshtal—91111862D. Yurkov—119911113
LJul 2 · 15:00D. Kryshtal—4111081D. Yurkov—11712113
WJul 1 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—141111113D. Yurkov—163591
WJun 27 · 16:30D. Kryshtal—1111113D. Yurkov—8370
WJun 24 · 13:30D. Kryshtal—1211113D. Yurkov—10950
WJun 23 · 12:00D. Kryshtal—31111113D. Yurkov—115761
LJun 22 · 17:33D. Kryshtal—8141381D. Yurkov—111215113
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113LAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130WAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112LAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113WAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460LAug 31 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.509101181R. Horokh1.5011128113
D. Yurkov10
LAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113LAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460WAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113LAug 18 · 17:28D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.106860WAug 18 · 16:30D. Yurkov2.3851113113S. Balabei1.531161191WAug 18 · 15:30D. Yurkov1.5791211113S. Kushnirenko2.251110961WAug 18 · 14:00D. Yurkov2.10113711113D. Kryshtal1.6741111692LAug 18 · 13:00D. Yurkov2.25117951R. Horokh1.5791111113WAug 11 · 17:29D. Yurkov2.0011913123D. Kryshtal1.7391111101
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