TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049486
Played Aug 31Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111012118811––
Roman Horokh
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Roman Horokh at 63.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 61–87 Roman Horokh Dmytro Kryshtal has won 61 of their 148 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-87 in 148
Horokh
Correct
gap of 26 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1932 vs Horokh 1982
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 40% vs Horokh 60%
Horokh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 40% vs Horokh 60%
Horokh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal +1 · Horokh +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 2.50 / Horokh 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Horokh)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13049486
Kryshtal2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 88 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back11% 21 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 131
Horokh1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 288 of 451
Up 2–0, closes it96% 155 of 162
Up 1–0, closes it80% 223 of 278
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal6wins
AwayHorokh4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal80%4 of 5
AwayHorokh60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal5Horokh5n = 10split evenly
S2Kryshtal4Horokh6n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S3Kryshtal5Horokh5n = 10split evenly
S4Kryshtal4Horokh5n = 9Horokh took 5 of 9
S5Kryshtal3Horokh0n = 3Kryshtal took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalHorokhK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.142.3+0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 723 vs 702 / 125443.4%56%314 / 723 vs 702 / 1254Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhKryshtal 2.50/Horokh 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 10:03D. Kryshtal—1411911113R. Horokh—16811792
LAug 29 · 07:30D. Kryshtal—6131291R. Horokh—111510113
LAug 28 · 13:30D. Kryshtal—8790R. Horokh—1111113
LAug 26 · 06:30D. Kryshtal—9121171R. Horokh—111013113
WAug 25 · 14:30D. Kryshtal—119118123R. Horokh—511511102
WAug 23 · 06:30D. Kryshtal—11911113R. Horokh—711881
WAug 21 · 14:30D. Kryshtal—155127113R. Horokh—1311101172
LAug 20 · 08:00D. Kryshtal—1162091R. Horokh—51122113
WAug 19 · 12:00D. Kryshtal—11117143R. Horokh—9811121
WAug 18 · 16:00D. Kryshtal—71111113R. Horokh—118471
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113LAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130WAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112LAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113WAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460WAug 29 · 10:03D. Kryshtal2.501411911113R. Horokh1.5016811792
R. Horokh10
WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572WSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113WSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113LAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113WAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 12:00S. Balabei2.00513111292R. Horokh1.731115610113LAug 29 · 10:03D. Kryshtal2.501411911113R. Horokh1.5016811792
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