TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061716
Played Sep 2Finished
Myhailo Levytskii
Home
6.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711911115117511
Roman Horokh
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:33 and never touched — 89.3% is still 89.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
89.3%
89.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyhailo Levytskii above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 88 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Roman Horokh at 89.3%
88 points played in total.
H2H Myhailo Levytskii 1–28 Roman Horokh Myhailo Levytskii has won 1 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-28 in 29
Horokh
Correct
gap of 27 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskii 1705 vs Horokh 2005
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 300 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskii 60% vs Horokh 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskii 60% vs Horokh 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskii -1 · Horokh -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (60%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskii 6.50 / Horokh 1.10
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Horokh)+3.8pp
Setka Cup · #13061716
Levytskii6.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 11 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Horokh1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 291 of 454
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it80% 226 of 281
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskii1wins
AwayHorokh9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskii33.3%1 of 3
AwayHorokh100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskii3Horokh7n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S2Levytskii1Horokh9n = 10Horokh took 9 of 10
S3Levytskii1Horokh9n = 10Horokh took 9 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskiiHorokhL − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match26.837.2−10.4per matchSweeps17−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskiiHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 308 vs 706 / 125953.6%56.1%165 / 308 vs 706 / 1259Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhLevytskii 6.50/Horokh 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.3%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJan 27 · 15:00M. Levytskii—6460R. Horokh—1111113
LAug 7 · 15:30M. Levytskii—1111100R. Horokh—1313123
LJul 31 · 14:30M. Levytskii—24681142R. Horokh—2211116113
LJul 29 · 15:30M. Levytskii—138110R. Horokh—1511133
LJul 23 · 16:30M. Levytskii—10430R. Horokh—1211113
WJul 22 · 15:30M. Levytskii—1111113R. Horokh—5790
LJul 1 · 17:30M. Levytskii—4650R. Horokh—1111113
LJul 1 · 12:30M. Levytskii—31240R. Horokh—1114113
LJun 18 · 15:30M. Levytskii—5980R. Horokh—1111113
LJun 11 · 15:00M. Levytskii—1243101R. Horokh—101111123
M. Levytskii10
LSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780WSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 26 · 17:16P. Kolesnik2.509770M. Levytskii1.501111113WAug 26 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi4.3311101551M. Levytskii1.2091217113WAug 26 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44116911123O. Torianyk2.63211113102WAug 26 · 13:30M. Denysenko2.2511118882M. Levytskii1.57881111113LAug 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.44911119122P. Kolesnik2.63119711143LAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.4012118113P. Kolesnik2.751091141
R. Horokh10
WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760LSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572WSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113WSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113LAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113WAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.509101181R. Horokh1.5011128113WAug 31 · 12:00S. Balabei2.00513111292R. Horokh1.731115610113LAug 29 · 10:03D. Kryshtal2.501411911113R. Horokh1.5016811792
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