TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049349
Played Aug 31Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111191012911––
Roman Horokh
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 72.6% is still 72.6%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
72.6%
72.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Roman Horokh at 72.6%
82 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 22–91 Roman Horokh Serhii Kushnirenko has won 22 of their 113 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:45What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-91 in 113
Horokh
Correct
gap of 69 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1847 vs Horokh 1992
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 0% vs Horokh 60%
Horokh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 20% vs Horokh 60%
Horokh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko -5 · Horokh +2
Kushnirenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 2.75 / Horokh 1.40
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Horokh)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13049349
Kushnirenko2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 119 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back18% 41 of 224
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 126
Horokh1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 288 of 451
Up 2–0, closes it96% 155 of 162
Up 1–0, closes it80% 223 of 278
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko4wins
AwayHorokh6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko80%4 of 5
AwayHorokh100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko5Horokh5n = 10split evenly
S2Kushnirenko4Horokh6n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S3Kushnirenko5Horokh5n = 10split evenly
S4Kushnirenko3Horokh3n = 6split evenly
S5Kushnirenko2Horokh3n = 5Horokh took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoHorokhK − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.4−1.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 765 vs 703 / 125541.2%56%315 / 765 vs 703 / 1255Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhKushnirenko 2.75/Horokh 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko—561151R. Horokh—11116113
LAug 6 · 07:30S. Kushnirenko—11681132R. Horokh—711119113
WAug 5 · 12:00S. Kushnirenko—1111113R. Horokh—6760
LAug 4 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko—10990R. Horokh—1211113
LJul 31 · 10:30S. Kushnirenko—131411852R. Horokh—1512911113
WJul 31 · 05:30S. Kushnirenko—114119113R. Horokh—71161192
LJul 29 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko—97110R. Horokh—1111133
WJul 28 · 07:30S. Kushnirenko—1111113R. Horokh—9840
WJul 27 · 12:00S. Kushnirenko—1181011113R. Horokh—91112962
LJul 25 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko—71371172R. Horokh—1111114113
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131WSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880WSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113LAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113LAug 26 · 10:35D. Kryshtal1.7311118113S. Kushnirenko2.00571191
R. Horokh10
WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572WSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113WSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113LAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113WAug 31 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.509101181R. Horokh1.5011128113WAug 31 · 12:00S. Balabei2.00513111292R. Horokh1.731115610113LAug 29 · 10:03D. Kryshtal2.501411911113R. Horokh1.5016811792
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