TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060717
Played Sep 2Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012115811115117
Roman Horokh
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 72.6% is still 72.6%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
72.6%
72.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Roman Horokh at 72.6%
91 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 22–91 Roman Horokh Serhii Kushnirenko has won 22 of their 113 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Horokh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-91 in 113
Horokh
Wrong
gap of 69 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1853 vs Horokh 2018
Horokh
Wrong
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 60% vs Horokh 80%
Horokh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 40% vs Horokh 70%
Horokh
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko -1 · Horokh +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kushnirenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 2.75 / Horokh 1.40
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Horokh)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13060717
Kushnirenko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 122 of 373
Down 0–1, comes back18% 41 of 226
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 126
Horokh1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 291 of 454
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it80% 226 of 281
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko4wins
AwayHorokh6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko80%4 of 5
AwayHorokh100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko5Horokh5n = 10split evenly
S2Kushnirenko4Horokh6n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S3Kushnirenko5Horokh5n = 10split evenly
S4Kushnirenko3Horokh3n = 6split evenly
S5Kushnirenko2Horokh3n = 5Horokh took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoHorokhK − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.4−1.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 770 vs 707 / 125941.3%56.2%318 / 770 vs 707 / 1259Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhKushnirenko 2.75/Horokh 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.6%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kushnirenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko—561151R. Horokh—11116113
LAug 6 · 07:30S. Kushnirenko—11681132R. Horokh—711119113
WAug 5 · 12:00S. Kushnirenko—1111113R. Horokh—6760
LAug 4 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko—10990R. Horokh—1211113
LJul 31 · 10:30S. Kushnirenko—131411852R. Horokh—1512911113
WJul 31 · 05:30S. Kushnirenko—114119113R. Horokh—71161192
LJul 29 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko—97110R. Horokh—1111133
WJul 28 · 07:30S. Kushnirenko—1111113R. Horokh—9840
WJul 27 · 12:00S. Kushnirenko—1181011113R. Horokh—91112962
LJul 25 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko—71371172R. Horokh—1111114113
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880WSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113LAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113LAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113LAug 26 · 10:35D. Kryshtal1.7311118113S. Kushnirenko2.00571191
R. Horokh10
WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113WSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113WSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113LAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113WAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.509101181R. Horokh1.5011128113WAug 31 · 12:00S. Balabei2.00513111292R. Horokh1.731115610113LAug 29 · 10:03D. Kryshtal2.501411911113R. Horokh1.5016811792
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