TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061245
Played Sep 2Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11710123111311114
Myhailo Levytskii
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:14 and never touched — 81.3% is still 81.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kushnirenko to win
81.3%
81.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Myhailo Levytskii below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 93 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Serhii Kushnirenko at 81.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 34–9 Myhailo Levytskii Myhailo Levytskii has won 9 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:14What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kushnirenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-9 in 43
Kushnirenko
Correct
gap of 25 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1866 vs Levytskii 1712
Kushnirenko
Correct
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 60% vs Levytskii 80%
Levytskii
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 40% vs Levytskii 60%
Levytskii
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko +2 · Levytskii +4
Levytskii
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Kushnirenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskii form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 1.25 / Levytskii 3.75
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Kushnirenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13061245
Kushnirenko1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite81% won 52 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Levytskii3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 11 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko9wins
AwayLevytskii1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKushnirenko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayLevytskiin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko8Levytskii2n = 10Kushnirenko took 8 of 10
S2Kushnirenko8Levytskii2n = 10Kushnirenko took 8 of 10
S3Kushnirenko8Levytskii2n = 10Kushnirenko took 8 of 10
S4Kushnirenko3Levytskii1n = 4Kushnirenko took 3 of 4
S5Kushnirenko2Levytskii1n = 3Kushnirenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoLevytskiiK − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.030.0+10.0per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoLevytskiiBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 768 vs 165 / 30841.3%53.6%317 / 768 vs 165 / 308Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KushnirenkoKushnirenko 1.25/Levytskii 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Kushnirenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kushnirenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMar 29 · 10:30S. Kushnirenko—111411113M. Levytskii—1312661
WMar 29 · 05:30S. Kushnirenko—1111113M. Levytskii—9750
WMar 15 · 09:30S. Kushnirenko—891111113M. Levytskii—11119162
WMar 7 · 09:30S. Kushnirenko—1111113M. Levytskii—8350
WMar 6 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko—1111133M. Levytskii—67110
LFeb 22 · 09:30S. Kushnirenko—1111611112M. Levytskii—881113123
WFeb 21 · 17:59S. Kushnirenko—1191111123M. Levytskii—711135102
WFeb 21 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko—1111113M. Levytskii—6980
WJan 27 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko—1111113M. Levytskii—9870
WJan 25 · 11:40S. Kushnirenko—1111103M. Levytskii—8650
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131WSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880WAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113LAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113LAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113LAug 26 · 10:35D. Kryshtal1.7311118113S. Kushnirenko2.00571191
M. Levytskii10
LSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780WSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113WAug 26 · 17:16P. Kolesnik2.509770M. Levytskii1.501111113WAug 26 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi4.3311101551M. Levytskii1.2091217113WAug 26 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44116911123O. Torianyk2.63211113102WAug 26 · 13:30M. Denysenko2.2511118882M. Levytskii1.57881111113LAug 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.44911119122P. Kolesnik2.63119711143LAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.4012118113P. Kolesnik2.751091141
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