TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015116
Played Aug 26Finished
Mykola Pohorilyi
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11910121517511––
Myhailo Levytskii
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:45 and never touched — 86.0% is still 86.0%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Levytskii to win
86.0%
86.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Pohorilyi above · Myhailo Levytskii below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 90 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Myhailo Levytskii at 86.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Pohorilyi 1–10 Myhailo Levytskii Mykola Pohorilyi has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:45What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Levytskii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Levytskii
Correct
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohorilyi 1454 vs Levytskii 1712
Levytskii
Correct
both rated, 258 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohorilyi 40% vs Levytskii 60%
Levytskii
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohorilyi 20% vs Levytskii 60%
Levytskii
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohorilyi -1 · Levytskii +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Levytskii) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskii form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohorilyi 4.33 / Levytskii 1.20
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Levytskii)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13015116
Pohorilyi4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog22% won 17 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back6% 3 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 37
Levytskii1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 62 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it82% 46 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohorilyi1wins
AwayLevytskii9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevytskii leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohorilyi33.3%1 of 3
AwayLevytskii100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohorilyi3Levytskii7n = 10Levytskii took 7 of 10
S2Pohorilyi2Levytskii8n = 10Levytskii took 8 of 10
S3Pohorilyi2Levytskii8n = 10Levytskii took 8 of 10
S4Pohorilyi0Levytskii6n = 6Levytskii took 6 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohorilyiLevytskiiP − LBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.039.6−10.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohorilyiLevytskiiBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 611 vs 170 / 31957.3%53.3%350 / 611 vs 170 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskiiPohorilyi 4.33/Levytskii 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Levytskii · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Levytskii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—11101551M. Levytskii—91217113
LAug 13 · 15:00M. Pohorilyi—851131M. Levytskii—11119113
LJul 13 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—3940M. Levytskii—1111113
LJun 20 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—81060M. Levytskii—1112113
LJun 9 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—381151M. Levytskii—11116113
LMay 12 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—87110M. Levytskii—1111133
WMay 6 · 17:30M. Pohorilyi—1113411123M. Levytskii—5111113102
LMay 6 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—811641M. Levytskii—11611113
LMar 18 · 15:00M. Pohorilyi—3850M. Levytskii—1111113
LDec 18 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi—118681M. Levytskii—91111113
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561LSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113WSep 4 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.578111211113V. Simchuk2.25111310722
M. Levytskii10
LSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780WSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 26 · 17:16P. Kolesnik2.509770M. Levytskii1.501111113WAug 26 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44116911123O. Torianyk2.63211113102WAug 26 · 13:30M. Denysenko2.2511118882M. Levytskii1.57881111113LAug 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.44911119122P. Kolesnik2.63119711143LAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.4012118113P. Kolesnik2.751091141
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.