TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061251
Played Sep 2Finished
Serhii Kiilo
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117118––––
Myhailo Levytskii
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:13 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kiilo to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kiilo above · Myhailo Levytskii below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Serhii Kiilo at 58.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kiilo 20–15 Myhailo Levytskii Myhailo Levytskii has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kiilo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-15 in 35
Kiilo
Correct
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kiilo 1748 vs Levytskii 1722
Kiilo
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kiilo 60% vs Levytskii 80%
Levytskii
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kiilo 50% vs Levytskii 70%
Levytskii
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kiilo +1 · Levytskii +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kiilo) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskii form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKiilo 1.61 / Levytskii 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kiilo)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13061251
Kiilo1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 8 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Levytskii2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 11 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKiilo6wins
AwayLevytskii4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKiilo leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKiilo80%4 of 5
AwayLevytskii60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kiilo5Levytskii5n = 10split evenly
S2Kiilo6Levytskii4n = 10Kiilo took 6 of 10
S3Kiilo9Levytskii1n = 10Kiilo took 9 of 10
S4Kiilo2Levytskii4n = 7Levytskii took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKiiloLevytskiiK − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.133.5+5.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKiiloLevytskiiBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 368 vs 165 / 30726.4%53.8%97 / 368 vs 165 / 307Avg sets wonper match1.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KiiloKiilo 1.61/Levytskii 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Kiilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kiilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 26 · 08:30S. Kiilo—1111113M. Levytskii—7360
WMar 28 · 13:00S. Kiilo—1111153M. Levytskii—34130
LMar 14 · 16:00S. Kiilo—1411881M. Levytskii—1691193
WFeb 22 · 06:30S. Kiilo—1111113M. Levytskii—7470
WFeb 21 · 13:00S. Kiilo—11111193M. Levytskii—913651
WJan 27 · 17:00S. Kiilo—101111122M. Levytskii—1296121
LJan 25 · 06:30S. Kiilo—881171M. Levytskii—11119113
LDec 28 · 09:30S. Kiilo—111015492M. Levytskii—7121311113
LDec 27 · 16:30S. Kiilo—71011101M. Levytskii—11125123
WNov 24 · 18:00S. Kiilo—71111113M. Levytskii—114491
S. Kiilo10
LSep 8 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.0011961162R. Horokh1.14911118113LSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880LSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113WAug 19 · 17:03S. Kiilo3.401181113113S. Kushnirenko1.3071171562LAug 19 · 16:00S. Kiilo5.0051080R. Horokh1.141112113WAug 19 · 15:00D. Kryshtal1.2271161152S. Kiilo4.00117114113WAug 19 · 14:00V. Komar1.281110961S. Kiilo3.5031211113LAug 19 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.33111011113S. Kiilo3.25712951
M. Levytskii10
LSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113WSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 26 · 17:16P. Kolesnik2.509770M. Levytskii1.501111113WAug 26 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi4.3311101551M. Levytskii1.2091217113WAug 26 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44116911123O. Torianyk2.63211113102WAug 26 · 13:30M. Denysenko2.2511118882M. Levytskii1.57881111113LAug 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.44911119122P. Kolesnik2.63119711143LAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.4012118113P. Kolesnik2.751091141
Upcoming Matches
S. Kiilo
M. Levytskii
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