TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12457158
Played Aug 19Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711117611114511
Serhii Kiilo
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 87.6% is still 87.6%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
87.6%
87.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Serhii Kiilo below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 84 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 87.6%
84 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 25–7 Serhii Kiilo Serhii Kiilo has won 7 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kryshtal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-7 in 32
Kryshtal
Wrong
gap of 18 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1920 vs Kiilo 1701
Kryshtal
Wrong
both rated, 219 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 80% vs Kiilo 40%
Kryshtal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 60% vs Kiilo 30%
Kryshtal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal -1 · Kiilo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kiilo form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.22 / Kiilo 4.00
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Kryshtal)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12457158
Kryshtal1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 148 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it94% 84 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it76% 117 of 155
Kiilo4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog19% won 31 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back11% 14 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal7wins
AwayKiilo3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal66.7%6 of 9
AwayKiilon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal9Kiilo1n = 10Kryshtal took 9 of 10
S2Kryshtal7Kiilo3n = 10Kryshtal took 7 of 10
S3Kryshtal6Kiilo4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S4Kryshtal4Kiilo2n = 6Kryshtal took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalKiiloKryshtal − KiiloBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.631.9+6.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalKiiloBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 681 vs 103 / 38642.9%26.7%292 / 681 vs 103 / 386Avg sets wonper match1.91.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.034.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.22/Kiilo 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
87.6%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kiilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 16:30D. Kryshtal—1111113S. Kiilo—4510
WAug 8 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—1611123S. Kiilo—149100
WAug 3 · 13:00D. Kryshtal—1111113S. Kiilo—6630
LJul 30 · 13:30D. Kryshtal—11671292S. Kiilo—9111110113
WJul 24 · 06:30D. Kryshtal—1311113S. Kiilo—11980
WJul 16 · 16:59D. Kryshtal—81111113S. Kiilo—116261
LJul 16 · 14:30D. Kryshtal—111187102S. Kiilo—731111123
LJul 6 · 13:00D. Kryshtal—119571S. Kiilo—71111113
WJul 2 · 13:30D. Kryshtal—11119113S. Kiilo—791181
WJun 10 · 12:30D. Kryshtal—12411123S. Kiilo—10116101
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.5711811692V. Komar2.25511511113WSep 8 · 17:14D. Kryshtal—11811113S. Kiilo—411571WSep 8 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.10121111362D. Kryshtal1.67149911113LSep 8 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.50118391R. Horokh1.5091111113WSep 8 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.75117311D. Kryshtal1.2571111113LSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.571211111052V. Komar2.251013612113LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113
S. Kiilo10
LSep 8 · 17:14D. Kryshtal—11811113S. Kiilo—411571LSep 8 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko1.361111113S. Kiilo3.003690WSep 8 · 15:00S. Kiilo3.25611118123V. Komar1.33116911102LSep 8 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.75117311D. Kryshtal1.2571111113LSep 8 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.0011961162R. Horokh1.14911118113LSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780WSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880LSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113
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