TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094659
Played Sep 8Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811311911––
Roman Horokh
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:53 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Roman Horokh at 65.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 61–87 Roman Horokh Dmytro Kryshtal has won 61 of their 148 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-87 in 148
Horokh
Correct
gap of 26 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1893 vs Horokh 2002
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 60% vs Horokh 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 40% vs Horokh 70%
Horokh
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal +1 · Horokh -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Horokh) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryshtal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 2.50 / Horokh 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Horokh)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094659
Kryshtal2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 86 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back11% 21 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 134
Horokh1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 289 of 443
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 164
Up 1–0, closes it81% 225 of 278
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal6wins
AwayHorokh4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal80%4 of 5
AwayHorokh60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal5Horokh5n = 10split evenly
S2Kryshtal4Horokh6n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S3Kryshtal5Horokh5n = 10split evenly
S4Kryshtal4Horokh5n = 9Horokh took 5 of 9
S5Kryshtal3Horokh0n = 3Kryshtal took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalHorokhK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.142.3+0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 735 vs 697 / 124043.4%56.2%319 / 735 vs 697 / 1240Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhKryshtal 2.50/Horokh 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 10:03D. Kryshtal—1411911113R. Horokh—16811792
LAug 29 · 07:30D. Kryshtal—6131291R. Horokh—111510113
LAug 28 · 13:30D. Kryshtal—8790R. Horokh—1111113
LAug 26 · 06:30D. Kryshtal—9121171R. Horokh—111013113
WAug 25 · 14:30D. Kryshtal—119118123R. Horokh—511511102
WAug 23 · 06:30D. Kryshtal—11911113R. Horokh—711881
WAug 21 · 14:30D. Kryshtal—155127113R. Horokh—1311101172
LAug 20 · 08:00D. Kryshtal—1162091R. Horokh—51122113
WAug 19 · 12:00D. Kryshtal—11117143R. Horokh—9811121
WAug 18 · 16:00D. Kryshtal—71111113R. Horokh—118471
D. Kryshtal10
WSep 8 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.75117311D. Kryshtal1.2571111113LSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.571211111052V. Komar2.251013612113LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113LAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130WAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112LAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113
R. Horokh10
LSep 8 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko2.7511115113R. Horokh1.40771161WSep 8 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.0011961162R. Horokh1.14911118113WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572WSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113WSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113LAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113WAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113
Upcoming Matches
D. Kryshtal
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R. Horokh
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