TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054113
Played Aug 31Finished
Serhii Balabei
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191161513––––
Dmytro Kryshtal
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingSerhii Balabei above · Dmytro Kryshtal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 65 set 3, 15-13
65 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Balabei 79–40 Dmytro Kryshtal Dmytro Kryshtal has won 40 of their 119 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Balabei)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryshtal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalabei 1.50 / Kryshtal 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Balabei)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13054113
Balabei1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 212 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it97% 103 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it88% 149 of 169
Kryshtal2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 88 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back11% 21 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBalabei6wins
AwayKryshtal4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBalabei leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalabei80%4 of 5
AwayKryshtal60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balabei5Kryshtal5n = 10split evenly
S2Balabei7Kryshtal3n = 10Balabei took 7 of 10
S3Balabei5Kryshtal5n = 10split evenly
S4Balabei3Kryshtal5n = 8Kryshtal took 5 of 8
S5Balabei3Kryshtal1n = 4Balabei took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBalabeiKryshtalB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.838.9−1.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalabeiKryshtalBasisWin rate · lifetime506 / 1013 vs 316 / 72750%43.5%506 / 1013 vs 316 / 727Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalabeiBalabei 1.50/Kryshtal 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Balabei · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Balabei won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 06:00S. Balabei—11113123D. Kryshtal—6711101
LAug 28 · 12:30S. Balabei—7114111D. Kryshtal—11211133
WAug 26 · 08:00S. Balabei—1111113D. Kryshtal—8790
LAug 25 · 13:30S. Balabei—118751D. Kryshtal—81111113
WAug 22 · 15:00S. Balabei—111493D. Kryshtal—51250
LAug 21 · 17:20S. Balabei—915291D. Kryshtal—111311113
WAug 21 · 13:30S. Balabei—114115113D. Kryshtal—91191182
WAug 20 · 09:30S. Balabei—911118113D. Kryshtal—11891182
LAug 18 · 15:00S. Balabei—51171142D. Kryshtal—119116113
WAug 15 · 14:30S. Balabei—97111173D. Kryshtal—11118752
S. Balabei10
LAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112WAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113LAug 31 · 12:00S. Balabei2.00513111292R. Horokh1.731115610113LAug 29 · 10:35S. Ponomarenko1.071111113S. Balabei7.506690WAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102WAug 29 · 08:30S. Balabei2.0011611113R. Horokh1.73611771LAug 29 · 07:00S. Balabei7.0011111872S. Ponomarenko1.08116811113WAug 29 · 06:00S. Balabei1.5011113123D. Kryshtal2.506711101LAug 28 · 16:00S. Balabei7.0061111232S. Ponomarenko1.08117611113
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113WAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112LAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113WAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460LAug 31 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.509101181R. Horokh1.5011128113LAug 29 · 06:00S. Balabei1.5011113123D. Kryshtal2.506711101
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