TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13041127
Played Aug 29Finished
Serhii Ponomarenko
Home
1.07
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116119––––
Serhii Balabei
Away
7.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingSerhii Ponomarenko above · Serhii Balabei below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9
54 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Ponomarenko 183–11 Serhii Balabei Serhii Balabei has won 11 of their 194 meetings.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Ponomarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Balabei form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 1.07 / Balabei 7.50
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Ponomarenko)-0.9pp
Setka Cup · #13041127
Ponomarenko1.07
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite88% won 321 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it100% 211 of 212
Up 1–0, closes it95% 261 of 275
Balabei7.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 62 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back20% 25 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePonomarenko10wins
AwayBalabei0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPonomarenko leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePonomarenko100%7 of 7
AwayBalabei0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ponomarenko7Balabei3n = 10Ponomarenko took 7 of 10
S2Ponomarenko6Balabei4n = 10Ponomarenko took 6 of 10
S3Ponomarenko8Balabei2n = 10Ponomarenko took 8 of 10
S4Ponomarenko7Balabei0n = 7Ponomarenko took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPonomarenkoBalabeiP − BBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.328.6+11.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoBalabeiBasisWin rate · lifetime782 / 870 vs 505 / 100889.9%50.1%782 / 870 vs 505 / 1008Avg sets wonper match2.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoPonomarenko 1.07/Balabei 7.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.6%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 07:00S. Ponomarenko—116811113S. Balabei—11111872
WAug 28 · 16:00S. Ponomarenko—117611113S. Balabei—61111232
WJul 29 · 15:00S. Ponomarenko—1111113S. Balabei—6340
WJul 28 · 07:00S. Ponomarenko—91111113S. Balabei—117531
WJul 24 · 07:00S. Ponomarenko—11611113S. Balabei—711571
WJul 23 · 14:30S. Ponomarenko—1314113S. Balabei—111290
WJul 22 · 10:28S. Ponomarenko—91111113S. Balabei—115731
WJul 22 · 06:00S. Ponomarenko—111111133S. Balabei—1366111
WJul 15 · 09:59S. Ponomarenko—1111113S. Balabei—6890
WJul 15 · 05:30S. Ponomarenko—11411113S. Balabei—811461
S. Ponomarenko10
WSep 3 · 19:25S. Ponomarenko1.01111112123E. Rubtsov12.008714101WSep 3 · 17:55S. Ponomarenko1.20113911113P. Plakushchyi4.3351111672WSep 3 · 16:25S. Ponomarenko1.041114113O. Kovalchuk9.0071270LSep 3 · 14:55S. Ponomarenko2.008580M. Makienko1.731111113WSep 3 · 13:25S. Ponomarenko1.101111113O. Mishchenko6.508880LSep 3 · 04:25O. Mishchenko7.0011114113S. Ponomarenko1.08981171WSep 3 · 02:55S. Ponomarenko1.03811611113O. Kovalchuk10.0011611692WSep 3 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi3.751110981S. Ponomarenko1.2551211113WSep 2 · 22:55E. Rubtsov11.009290S. Ponomarenko1.021111113LSep 2 · 21:55V. Kovalenko6.0011128123S. Ponomarenko1.1181011101
S. Balabei10
WAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130LAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112WAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113LAug 31 · 12:00S. Balabei2.00513111292R. Horokh1.731115610113WAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102WAug 29 · 08:30S. Balabei2.0011611113R. Horokh1.73611771LAug 29 · 07:00S. Balabei7.0011111872S. Ponomarenko1.08116811113WAug 29 · 06:00S. Balabei1.5011113123D. Kryshtal2.506711101LAug 28 · 16:00S. Balabei7.0061111232S. Ponomarenko1.08117611113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.