TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049410
Played Aug 31Finished
Dmytro Yurkov
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111113611––––
Roman Horokh
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Yurkov above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 58 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Roman Horokh at 60.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Yurkov 145–215 Roman Horokh Dmytro Yurkov has won 145 of their 360 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:55What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
145-215 in 360
Horokh
Correct
gap of 70 in 360, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yurkov 1853 vs Horokh 2006
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yurkov 40% vs Horokh 60%
Horokh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yurkov 50% vs Horokh 70%
Horokh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yurkov -2 · Horokh +3
Horokh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYurkov 2.20 / Horokh 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Horokh)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13049410
Yurkov2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 88 of 260
Down 0–1, comes back13% 19 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 92
Horokh1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 288 of 451
Up 2–0, closes it96% 155 of 162
Up 1–0, closes it80% 223 of 278
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYurkov4wins
AwayHorokh6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYurkov42.9%3 of 7
AwayHorokh66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yurkov7Horokh3n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S2Yurkov5Horokh5n = 10split evenly
S3Yurkov6Horokh4n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Yurkov1Horokh7n = 8Horokh took 7 of 8
S5Yurkov2Horokh3n = 5Horokh took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurkovHorokhY − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.841.1−1.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurkovHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 995 vs 704 / 125643.6%56.1%434 / 995 vs 704 / 1256Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhYurkov 2.20/Horokh 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 20 · 14:30D. Yurkov—13810141R. Horokh—111112163
WJul 16 · 16:30D. Yurkov—1113113R. Horokh—51140
LJul 14 · 14:30D. Yurkov—911681R. Horokh—11811113
LJul 11 · 17:34D. Yurkov—15812862R. Horokh—13111011113
WJul 11 · 16:30D. Yurkov—511812113R. Horokh—116111052
WJul 9 · 14:30D. Yurkov—1111113R. Horokh—6670
LJul 7 · 16:00D. Yurkov—21011111R. Horokh—11128133
LJul 2 · 17:09D. Yurkov—112111132R. Horokh—811913113
LJul 2 · 16:00D. Yurkov—112136112R. Horokh—1111111133
WJul 1 · 14:30D. Yurkov—111143113R. Horokh—77111132
D. Yurkov10
LAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460WAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113LAug 18 · 17:28D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.106860WAug 18 · 16:30D. Yurkov2.3851113113S. Balabei1.531161191WAug 18 · 15:30D. Yurkov1.5791211113S. Kushnirenko2.251110961WAug 18 · 14:00D. Yurkov2.10113711113D. Kryshtal1.6741111692LAug 18 · 13:00D. Yurkov2.25117951R. Horokh1.5791111113WAug 11 · 17:29D. Yurkov2.0011913123D. Kryshtal1.7391111101LAug 11 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.7391111113D. Yurkov2.00118781
R. Horokh10
WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572WSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113WSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113LAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.509101181R. Horokh1.5011128113WAug 31 · 12:00S. Balabei2.00513111292R. Horokh1.731115610113WAug 18 · 13:00D. Yurkov2.25117951R. Horokh1.5791111113
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