TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451437
Played Aug 18Finished
Dmytro Yurkov
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114311711116119
Dmytro Kryshtal
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Yurkov above · Dmytro Kryshtal below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 84 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 56.8%
84 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Yurkov 54–56 Dmytro Kryshtal Dmytro Yurkov has won 54 of their 110 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kryshtal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-56 in 110
Kryshtal
Wrong
gap of 2 in 110, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yurkov 1835 vs Kryshtal 1887
Kryshtal
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yurkov 40% vs Kryshtal 60%
Kryshtal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yurkov 30% vs Kryshtal 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yurkov -1 · Kryshtal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYurkov 2.10 / Kryshtal 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kryshtal)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12451437
Yurkov2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 97 of 284
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 100
Kryshtal1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 147 of 257
Up 2–0, closes it94% 83 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it75% 116 of 154
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYurkov4wins
AwayKryshtal6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYurkov57.1%4 of 7
AwayKryshtal100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yurkov7Kryshtal3n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S2Yurkov0Kryshtal10n = 10Kryshtal took 10 of 10
S3Yurkov4Kryshtal6n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S4Yurkov4Kryshtal4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurkovKryshtalY − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.039.7−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurkovKryshtalBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 1030 vs 288 / 67543.7%42.7%450 / 1030 vs 288 / 675Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalYurkov 2.10/Kryshtal 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 14 · 15:30D. Yurkov—791161D. Kryshtal—11119113
WJul 9 · 15:30D. Yurkov—14411123D. Kryshtal—12119101
LJul 7 · 17:04D. Yurkov—117851D. Kryshtal—91111113
WJul 7 · 15:00D. Yurkov—119911113D. Kryshtal—91111862
WJul 2 · 15:00D. Yurkov—11712113D. Kryshtal—4111081
LJul 1 · 15:30D. Yurkov—163591D. Kryshtal—141111113
LJun 27 · 16:30D. Yurkov—8370D. Kryshtal—1111113
LJun 24 · 13:30D. Yurkov—10950D. Kryshtal—1211113
LJun 23 · 12:00D. Yurkov—115761D. Kryshtal—31111113
WJun 22 · 17:33D. Yurkov—111215113D. Kryshtal—8141381
D. Yurkov10
LAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113LAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460WAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113LAug 18 · 17:28D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.106860WAug 18 · 16:30D. Yurkov2.3851113113S. Balabei1.531161191WAug 18 · 15:30D. Yurkov1.5791211113S. Kushnirenko2.251110961LAug 18 · 13:00D. Yurkov2.25117951R. Horokh1.5791111113WAug 11 · 17:29D. Yurkov2.0011913123D. Kryshtal1.7391111101LAug 11 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.7391111113D. Yurkov2.00118781
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113LAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130WAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460WAug 18 · 17:28D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.106860LAug 11 · 17:29D. Yurkov2.0011913123D. Kryshtal1.7391111101WAug 11 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.7391111113D. Yurkov2.00118781
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