TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094552
Played Sep 8Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121011131161012511
Vadim Komar
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Vadim Komar below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 101 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 60.1%
101 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 37–26 Vadim Komar Vadim Komar has won 26 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:26What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kryshtal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-26 in 63
Kryshtal
Wrong
gap of 11 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1899 vs Komar 1824
Kryshtal
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 40% vs Komar 20%
Kryshtal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 40% vs Komar 20%
Kryshtal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal -1 · Komar -4
Komar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komar form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.57 / Komar 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kryshtal)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094552
Kryshtal1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 152 of 264
Up 2–0, closes it94% 84 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it76% 118 of 156
Komar2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 53 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal7wins
AwayKomar3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal83.3%5 of 6
AwayKomar50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal6Komar4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S2Kryshtal6Komar4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S3Kryshtal3Komar7n = 10Komar took 7 of 10
S4Kryshtal8Komar0n = 8Kryshtal took 8 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home770%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalKomarKryshtal − KomarBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.633.7+4.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalKomarBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 733 vs 251 / 63843.4%39.3%318 / 733 vs 251 / 638Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.57/Komar 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Komar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—91111113V. Komar—115761
WAug 25 · 17:01D. Kryshtal—11117113V. Komar—571151
LAug 25 · 12:30D. Kryshtal—414100V. Komar—1116123
WAug 23 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—11911113V. Komar—411981
WAug 22 · 16:30D. Kryshtal—11137113V. Komar—4111181
WAug 20 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—61111113V. Komar—113351
LAug 19 · 17:35D. Kryshtal—9480V. Komar—1111113
WAug 19 · 16:30D. Kryshtal—111112113V. Komar—481471
LAug 16 · 05:00D. Kryshtal—11881182V. Komar—711119113
WAug 15 · 15:30D. Kryshtal—11116133V. Komar—7811121
D. Kryshtal10
WSep 8 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.75117311D. Kryshtal1.2571111113LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113LAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130WAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112LAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113WAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460
V. Komar10
LAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102LAug 29 · 08:00V. Komar8.506540S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LAug 29 · 06:30V. Komar2.389611141R. Horokh1.5311115163LAug 29 · 05:00V. Komar2.25581121D. Kryshtal1.5711118113WAug 28 · 17:19D. Kryshtal1.678760V. Komar2.081111113LAug 28 · 16:30V. Komar2.38611101192R. Horokh1.53118126113LAug 28 · 15:30V. Komar2.251151011112D. Kryshtal1.57911125133WAug 28 · 14:00V. Komar2.00111129113S. Balabei1.73119101142LAug 28 · 13:00V. Komar8.509760S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LAug 26 · 09:00S. Balabei1.731361111133V. Komar2.001111813112
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