TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031342
Played Aug 28Finished
Vadim Komar
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111181012116911
Roman Horokh
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadim Komar above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Roman Horokh at 62.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Komar 75–153 Roman Horokh Vadim Komar has won 75 of their 228 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
75-153 in 228
Horokh
Correct
gap of 78 in 228, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komar 1866 vs Horokh 2003
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komar 20% vs Horokh 40%
Horokh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komar 10% vs Horokh 60%
Horokh
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Komar -1 · Horokh -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Horokh) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomar 2.38 / Horokh 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Horokh)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031342
Komar2.38
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 58 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Horokh1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 291 of 453
Up 2–0, closes it96% 157 of 164
Up 1–0, closes it81% 225 of 278
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomar5wins
AwayHorokh5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomar100%3 of 3
AwayHorokh71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komar3Horokh7n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S2Komar3Horokh7n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S3Komar4Horokh6n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S4Komar4Horokh3n = 7Komar took 4 of 7
S5Komar3Horokh0n = 3Komar took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomarHorokhK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.837.7−2.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomarHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 648 vs 707 / 126339.4%56%255 / 648 vs 707 / 1263Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhKomar 2.38/Horokh 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 07:30V. Komar—3111181R. Horokh—11713113
LAug 25 · 16:00V. Komar—891171R. Horokh—11114113
WAug 23 · 10:00V. Komar—11711113R. Horokh—711551
LAug 23 · 07:30V. Komar—9530R. Horokh—1111113
WAug 20 · 09:00V. Komar—117119113R. Horokh—61191162
WAug 19 · 13:00V. Komar—31111113R. Horokh—119561
WAug 13 · 09:00V. Komar—1210711113R. Horokh—101211852
WAug 12 · 13:00V. Komar—311411133R. Horokh—117118112
LAug 4 · 07:30V. Komar—7390R. Horokh—1111113
LJul 31 · 08:00V. Komar—12590R. Horokh—1411113
V. Komar10
LAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102LAug 29 · 08:00V. Komar8.506540S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LAug 29 · 06:30V. Komar2.389611141R. Horokh1.5311115163LAug 29 · 05:00V. Komar2.25581121D. Kryshtal1.5711118113WAug 28 · 17:19D. Kryshtal1.678760V. Komar2.081111113LAug 28 · 15:30V. Komar2.251151011112D. Kryshtal1.57911125133WAug 28 · 14:00V. Komar2.00111129113S. Balabei1.73119101142LAug 28 · 13:00V. Komar8.509760S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LAug 26 · 09:00S. Balabei1.731361111133V. Komar2.001111813112LAug 26 · 07:30R. Horokh1.5311713113V. Komar2.383111181
R. Horokh10
WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572WSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113WSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113LAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113WAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 29 · 06:30V. Komar2.389611141R. Horokh1.5311115163WAug 26 · 07:30R. Horokh1.5311713113V. Komar2.383111181
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