TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015169
Played Aug 26Finished
Roman Horokh
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1137111311118––
Vadim Komar
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Vadim Komar below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Roman Horokh at 62.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 153–75 Vadim Komar Vadim Komar has won 75 of their 228 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:57What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
153-75 in 228
Horokh
Correct
gap of 78 in 228, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horokh 1995 vs Komar 1866
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horokh 60% vs Komar 0%
Horokh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horokh 60% vs Komar 40%
Horokh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horokh +2 · Komar -5
Komar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Horokh) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komar form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.53 / Komar 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Horokh)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015169
Horokh1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 291 of 453
Up 2–0, closes it96% 157 of 164
Up 1–0, closes it81% 225 of 278
Komar2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 58 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh5wins
AwayKomar5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh71.4%5 of 7
AwayKomar100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh7Komar3n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S2Horokh7Komar3n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S3Horokh6Komar4n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S4Horokh3Komar4n = 7Komar took 4 of 7
S5Horokh0Komar3n = 3Komar took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhKomarH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.734.8+2.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhKomarBasisWin rate · lifetime704 / 1258 vs 253 / 64356%39.4%704 / 1258 vs 253 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.53/Komar 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 07:30R. Horokh—11713113V. Komar—3111181
WAug 25 · 16:00R. Horokh—11114113V. Komar—891171
LAug 23 · 10:00R. Horokh—711551V. Komar—11711113
WAug 23 · 07:30R. Horokh—1111113V. Komar—9530
LAug 20 · 09:00R. Horokh—61191162V. Komar—117119113
LAug 19 · 13:00R. Horokh—119561V. Komar—31111113
LAug 13 · 09:00R. Horokh—101211852V. Komar—1210711113
LAug 12 · 13:00R. Horokh—117118112V. Komar—311411133
WAug 4 · 07:30R. Horokh—1111113V. Komar—7390
WJul 31 · 08:00R. Horokh—1411113V. Komar—12590
R. Horokh10
WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572WSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113WSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113LAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113WAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.509101181R. Horokh1.5011128113WAug 31 · 12:00S. Balabei2.00513111292R. Horokh1.731115610113
V. Komar10
LAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102LAug 29 · 08:00V. Komar8.506540S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LAug 29 · 06:30V. Komar2.389611141R. Horokh1.5311115163LAug 29 · 05:00V. Komar2.25581121D. Kryshtal1.5711118113WAug 28 · 17:19D. Kryshtal1.678760V. Komar2.081111113LAug 28 · 16:30V. Komar2.38611101192R. Horokh1.53118126113LAug 28 · 15:30V. Komar2.251151011112D. Kryshtal1.57911125133WAug 28 · 14:00V. Komar2.00111129113S. Balabei1.73119101142LAug 28 · 13:00V. Komar8.509760S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LAug 26 · 09:00S. Balabei1.731361111133V. Komar2.001111813112
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