TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037805
Played Aug 29Finished
Vadim Komar
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511811118211––
Dmytro Kryshtal
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadim Komar above · Dmytro Kryshtal below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 67 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 59.3%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Komar 26–37 Dmytro Kryshtal Vadim Komar has won 26 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kryshtal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-37 in 63
Kryshtal
Correct
gap of 11 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komar 1866 vs Kryshtal 1941
Kryshtal
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komar 40% vs Kryshtal 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komar 20% vs Kryshtal 50%
Kryshtal
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Komar +1 · Kryshtal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryshtal form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomar 2.25 / Kryshtal 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kryshtal)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037805
Komar2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 59 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Kryshtal1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it96% 86 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it76% 120 of 157
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomar3wins
AwayKryshtal7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomar50%2 of 4
AwayKryshtal83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komar4Kryshtal6n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S2Komar4Kryshtal6n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S3Komar7Kryshtal3n = 10Komar took 7 of 10
S4Komar0Kryshtal8n = 8Kryshtal took 8 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away770%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomarKryshtalKomar − KryshtalBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.738.6−4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomarKryshtalBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 648 vs 312 / 71839.4%43.5%255 / 648 vs 312 / 718Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKomar 2.25/Kryshtal 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 05:00V. Komar—115761D. Kryshtal—91111113
LAug 25 · 17:01V. Komar—571151D. Kryshtal—11117113
WAug 25 · 12:30V. Komar—1116123D. Kryshtal—414100
LAug 23 · 05:00V. Komar—411981D. Kryshtal—11911113
LAug 22 · 16:30V. Komar—4111181D. Kryshtal—11137113
LAug 20 · 05:00V. Komar—113351D. Kryshtal—61111113
WAug 19 · 17:35V. Komar—1111113D. Kryshtal—9480
LAug 19 · 16:30V. Komar—481471D. Kryshtal—111112113
WAug 16 · 05:00V. Komar—711119113D. Kryshtal—11881182
LAug 15 · 15:30V. Komar—7811121D. Kryshtal—11116133
V. Komar10
LAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102LAug 29 · 08:00V. Komar8.506540S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LAug 29 · 06:30V. Komar2.389611141R. Horokh1.5311115163WAug 28 · 17:19D. Kryshtal1.678760V. Komar2.081111113LAug 28 · 16:30V. Komar2.38611101192R. Horokh1.53118126113LAug 28 · 15:30V. Komar2.251151011112D. Kryshtal1.57911125133WAug 28 · 14:00V. Komar2.00111129113S. Balabei1.73119101142LAug 28 · 13:00V. Komar8.509760S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LAug 26 · 09:00S. Balabei1.731361111133V. Komar2.001111813112LAug 26 · 07:30R. Horokh1.5311713113V. Komar2.383111181
D. Kryshtal10
LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113LAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130WAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112LAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113LAug 28 · 17:19D. Kryshtal1.678760V. Komar2.081111113WAug 28 · 15:30V. Komar2.251151011112D. Kryshtal1.57911125133
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