TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094664
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214119119311611
Dmytro Kryshtal
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Dmytro Kryshtal below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 97 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 56.6%
97 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 37–50 Dmytro Kryshtal Serhii Kushnirenko has won 37 of their 87 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kryshtal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-50 in 87
Kryshtal
Correct
gap of 13 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1892 vs Kryshtal 1885
Kushnirenko
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 80% vs Kryshtal 40%
Kushnirenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 70% vs Kryshtal 40%
Kushnirenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko +3 · Kryshtal -1
Kushnirenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryshtal form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 2.10 / Kryshtal 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kryshtal)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13094664
Kushnirenko2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 123 of 375
Down 0–1, comes back18% 42 of 228
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 127
Kryshtal1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 152 of 264
Up 2–0, closes it94% 84 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it76% 118 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko5wins
AwayKryshtal5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko33.3%2 of 6
AwayKryshtal25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko6Kryshtal4n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10
S2Kushnirenko4Kryshtal6n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S3Kushnirenko1Kryshtal9n = 10Kryshtal took 9 of 10
S4Kushnirenko3Kryshtal6n = 9Kryshtal took 6 of 9
S5Kushnirenko5Kryshtal0n = 5Kushnirenko took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoKryshtalKushnirenko − KryshtalBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.942.4−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoKryshtalBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 770 vs 319 / 73641.3%43.3%318 / 770 vs 319 / 736Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKushnirenko 2.10/Kryshtal 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 06:30S. Kushnirenko—1411115113D. Kryshtal—16871182
WAug 19 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko—1271111113D. Kryshtal—101113972
LAug 18 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko—4880D. Kryshtal—1111113
WAug 16 · 10:33S. Kushnirenko—1111611113D. Kryshtal—13611662
LAug 16 · 09:30S. Kushnirenko—1178111D. Kryshtal—61111133
WAug 15 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko—111189113D. Kryshtal—96111152
LAug 13 · 06:30S. Kushnirenko—115681D. Kryshtal—61111113
LAug 12 · 17:33S. Kushnirenko—139431D. Kryshtal—111111113
WAug 12 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko—911511133D. Kryshtal—114115112
LAug 9 · 09:30S. Kushnirenko—114871D. Kryshtal—81111113
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 8 · 17:29R. Horokh1.405890S. Kushnirenko2.751111113WSep 8 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko1.361111113S. Kiilo3.003690WSep 8 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.20811712113V. Komar1.61118111072WSep 8 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko2.7511115113R. Horokh1.40771161WSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131WSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880WSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113
D. Kryshtal10
WSep 8 · 17:14D. Kryshtal—11811113S. Kiilo—411571LSep 8 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.50118391R. Horokh1.5091111113WSep 8 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.75117311D. Kryshtal1.2571111113LSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.571211111052V. Komar2.251013612113LSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113LAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130
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