TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099879
Played Sep 8Finished
Roman Horokh
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811911––––
Serhii Kushnirenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Serhii Kushnirenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 98–28 Serhii Kushnirenko Serhii Kushnirenko has won 28 of their 126 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Kushnirenko beat Horokh 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kushnirenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.40 / Kushnirenko 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Horokh)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13099879
Horokh1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 289 of 443
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 164
Up 1–0, closes it81% 225 of 278
Kushnirenko2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 123 of 375
Down 0–1, comes back18% 42 of 228
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh5wins
AwayKushnirenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh83.3%5 of 6
AwayKushnirenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh6Kushnirenko4n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S2Horokh5Kushnirenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Horokh7Kushnirenko3n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S4Horokh2Kushnirenko4n = 6Kushnirenko took 4 of 6
S5Horokh1Kushnirenko2n = 3Kushnirenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhKushnirenkoH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.335.7+0.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhKushnirenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime698 / 1239 vs 319 / 77256.3%41.3%698 / 1239 vs 319 / 772Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.40/Kushnirenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kushnirenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 13:00R. Horokh—771161S. Kushnirenko—11115113
LSep 2 · 14:30R. Horokh—12511572S. Kushnirenko—1011811113
LAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh—2101191S. Kushnirenko—11127113
WAug 31 · 14:30R. Horokh—11912113S. Kushnirenko—9111091
WAug 26 · 08:30R. Horokh—1115113S. Kushnirenko—61370
WAug 25 · 13:00R. Horokh—111385113S. Kushnirenko—311111182
LAug 23 · 08:30R. Horokh—711511122S. Kushnirenko—113113143
WAug 20 · 10:09R. Horokh—1111113S. Kushnirenko—8960
WAug 20 · 05:30R. Horokh—1111113S. Kushnirenko—4880
LAug 19 · 14:30R. Horokh—5780S. Kushnirenko—1111113
R. Horokh10
WSep 8 · 16:00V. Komar2.25138771R. Horokh1.57111111113WSep 8 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.50118391R. Horokh1.5091111113LSep 8 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko2.7511115113R. Horokh1.40771161WSep 8 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.0011961162R. Horokh1.14911118113WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh1.501111113D. Kryshtal2.506760WSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572WSep 2 · 13:00D. Kryshtal2.25101190R. Horokh1.571213113WSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113LAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 8 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko1.361111113S. Kiilo3.003690LSep 8 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.10121111362D. Kryshtal1.67149911113WSep 8 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.20811712113V. Komar1.61118111072WSep 8 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko2.7511115113R. Horokh1.40771161WSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131WSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880WSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113
Upcoming Matches
R. Horokh
Nothing scheduled
S. Kushnirenko
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