TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094621
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111187111210117
Vadim Komar
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVadim Komar to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Vadim Komar below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 96 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vadim Komar at 58.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 14–22 Vadim Komar Serhii Kushnirenko has won 14 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:37What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Komar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-22 in 36
Komar
Wrong
gap of 8 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1882 vs Komar 1837
Kushnirenko
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 60% vs Komar 20%
Kushnirenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 70% vs Komar 30%
Kushnirenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko +2 · Komar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Komar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komar form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 2.20 / Komar 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Komar)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094621
Kushnirenko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 123 of 375
Down 0–1, comes back18% 42 of 228
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 127
Komar1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 33 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko4wins
AwayKomar6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKomar leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko50%3 of 6
AwayKomar75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko6Komar4n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10
S2Kushnirenko2Komar8n = 10Komar took 8 of 10
S3Kushnirenko3Komar7n = 10Komar took 7 of 10
S4Kushnirenko3Komar5n = 8Komar took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoKomarKushnirenko − KomarBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.440.0−5.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoKomarBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 769 vs 240 / 61641.2%39%317 / 769 vs 240 / 616Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomarKushnirenko 2.20/Komar 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Komar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kushnirenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko—11511113V. Komar—611591
LAug 25 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko—116481V. Komar—51111113
WAug 23 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko—116117123V. Komar—911911102
LAug 22 · 17:34S. Kushnirenko—3830V. Komar—1111113
WAug 22 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko—11711123V. Komar—9111111
LAug 20 · 07:30S. Kushnirenko—76110V. Komar—1111133
LAug 19 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko—1491561V. Komar—121117113
LAug 16 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko—128661V. Komar—101111113
WAug 15 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko—611711103V. Komar—11911982
LAug 13 · 07:30S. Kushnirenko—1011271V. Komar—12511113
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 8 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko2.7511115113R. Horokh1.40771161WSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131WSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880WSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113LAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113
V. Komar10
LSep 8 · 15:00S. Kiilo3.25611118123V. Komar1.33116911102WSep 8 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.571211111052V. Komar2.251013612113LAug 29 · 09:30S. Balabei1.67116145123V. Komar2.104111211102LAug 29 · 08:00V. Komar8.506540S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LAug 29 · 06:30V. Komar2.389611141R. Horokh1.5311115163LAug 29 · 05:00V. Komar2.25581121D. Kryshtal1.5711118113WAug 28 · 17:19D. Kryshtal1.678760V. Komar2.081111113LAug 28 · 16:30V. Komar2.38611101192R. Horokh1.53118126113LAug 28 · 15:30V. Komar2.251151011112D. Kryshtal1.57911125133WAug 28 · 14:00V. Komar2.00111129113S. Balabei1.73119101142
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