TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015188
Played Aug 26Finished
Maksym Denysenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118118811811811
Myhailo Levytskii
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Levytskii to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Denysenko above · Myhailo Levytskii below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 95 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Myhailo Levytskii at 63.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Denysenko 2–5 Myhailo Levytskii Maksym Denysenko has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Levytskii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Levytskii
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Denysenko 1641 vs Levytskii 1673
Levytskii
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Denysenko 80% vs Levytskii 40%
Denysenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Denysenko 70% vs Levytskii 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Denysenko +2 · Levytskii -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Levytskii) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskii form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDenysenko 2.25 / Levytskii 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Levytskii)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13015188
Denysenko2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 15 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Levytskii1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 62 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it82% 46 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDenysenko2wins
AwayLevytskii5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderLevytskii leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDenysenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayLevytskii100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Denysenko3Levytskii4n = 7Levytskii took 4 of 7
S2Denysenko2Levytskii5n = 7Levytskii took 5 of 7
S3Denysenko4Levytskii3n = 7Denysenko took 4 of 7
S4Denysenko1Levytskii3n = 4Levytskii took 3 of 4
S5Denysenko1Levytskii2n = 3Levytskii took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricDenysenkoLevytskiiD − LBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match35.138.6−3.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDenysenkoLevytskiiBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 63 vs 167 / 31949.2%52.4%31 / 63 vs 167 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskiiDenysenko 2.25/Levytskii 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Levytskii · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Levytskii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 13 · 17:04M. Denysenko—8960M. Levytskii—1111113
LAug 13 · 12:30M. Denysenko—8760M. Levytskii—1111113
LAug 8 · 09:30M. Denysenko—7711101M. Levytskii—11118123
LAug 7 · 16:30M. Denysenko—78111132M. Levytskii—111178113
LJul 25 · 09:30M. Denysenko—11116862M. Levytskii—381111113
WJul 24 · 15:30M. Denysenko—1112113M. Levytskii—81070
WJul 15 · 13:30M. Denysenko—1171110123M. Levytskii—811412102
M. Denysenko10
LAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790WAug 28 · 09:30S. Sideltsev3.251011971M. Denysenko1.3312911113WAug 28 · 08:00M. Denysenko1.6181211113P. Kolesnik2.201110991LAug 28 · 06:30M. Denysenko1.80113881O. Torianyk1.9161111113WAug 28 · 05:00M. Denysenko1.5012117113M. Pohorilyi2.501081191WAug 27 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.678590M. Denysenko2.101111113WAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 07:30M. Denysenko1.83119581O. Torianyk1.8371111113WAug 27 · 06:30P. Kolesnik1.9191170M. Denysenko1.801113113WAug 27 · 05:30M. Denysenko1.53115114153M. Pohorilyi2.38811511132
M. Levytskii10
LSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780WSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 26 · 17:16P. Kolesnik2.509770M. Levytskii1.501111113WAug 26 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi4.3311101551M. Levytskii1.2091217113WAug 26 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44116911123O. Torianyk2.63211113102LAug 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.44911119122P. Kolesnik2.63119711143LAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.4012118113P. Kolesnik2.751091141
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