TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472237
Played Aug 22Finished
Myhailo Levytskii
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210119811114––
Petr Kolesnik
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 73.5% is still 73.5%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Levytskii to win
73.5%
73.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyhailo Levytskii above · Petr Kolesnik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 76 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Myhailo Levytskii at 73.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Myhailo Levytskii 25–8 Petr Kolesnik Petr Kolesnik has won 8 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Levytskii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-8 in 33
Levytskii
Correct
gap of 17 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskii 1701 vs Kolesnik 1502
Levytskii
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskii 60% vs Kolesnik 20%
Levytskii
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskii 70% vs Kolesnik 40%
Levytskii
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskii +1 · Kolesnik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Levytskii) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskii 1.40 / Kolesnik 2.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Levytskii)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472237
Levytskii1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite72% won 60 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Kolesnik2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog27% won 13 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskii7wins
AwayKolesnik3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevytskii leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskii75%6 of 8
AwayKolesnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskii8Kolesnik2n = 10Levytskii took 8 of 10
S2Levytskii6Kolesnik4n = 10Levytskii took 6 of 10
S3Levytskii8Kolesnik2n = 10Levytskii took 8 of 10
S4Levytskii3Kolesnik2n = 5Levytskii took 3 of 5
S5Levytskii1Kolesnik2n = 3Kolesnik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskiiKolesnikL − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.132.7+6.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskiiKolesnikBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 326 vs 176 / 31953.1%55.2%173 / 326 vs 176 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskiiLevytskii 1.40/Kolesnik 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.3%
Levytskii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Levytskii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 14:00M. Levytskii—1111113P. Kolesnik—4480
WJul 15 · 15:30M. Levytskii—1111113P. Kolesnik—6670
LJun 20 · 12:30M. Levytskii—11881182P. Kolesnik—711118113
LMay 30 · 10:33M. Levytskii—119114132P. Kolesnik—711911153
WMay 30 · 06:00M. Levytskii—1511113P. Kolesnik—13870
WMay 29 · 15:30M. Levytskii—1111113P. Kolesnik—4440
LMay 17 · 09:30M. Levytskii—10111161P. Kolesnik—12136113
WApr 16 · 15:30M. Levytskii—116911123P. Kolesnik—911114102
WMar 18 · 18:44M. Levytskii—1111123P. Kolesnik—98100
WMar 18 · 16:00M. Levytskii—71111113P. Kolesnik—119891
M. Levytskii10
LSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780WSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 26 · 17:16P. Kolesnik2.509770M. Levytskii1.501111113WAug 26 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi4.3311101551M. Levytskii1.2091217113WAug 26 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44116911123O. Torianyk2.63211113102WAug 26 · 13:30M. Denysenko2.2511118882M. Levytskii1.57881111113LAug 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.44911119122P. Kolesnik2.63119711143LAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840WSep 2 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.101111113N. Priadko1.678770WSep 2 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.331111113M. Pohorilyi3.256950LSep 1 · 17:09P. Kolesnik1.28115881M. Pohorilyi3.5081111113LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.1014951372N. Priadko1.6712111111113LSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891LAug 26 · 17:16P. Kolesnik2.509770M. Levytskii1.501111113WAug 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.44911119122P. Kolesnik2.63119711143
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