TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095061
Played Sep 9Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7119111121517––
Valerii Vlasenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Vlasenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Valerii Vlasenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 15-17
Point 83 set 4, 15-17 — our read held Valerii Vlasenko at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 43–47 Valerii Vlasenko Anton Shypilov has won 43 of their 90 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vlasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-47 in 90
Vlasenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1475 vs Vlasenko 1505
Vlasenko
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 40% vs Vlasenko 0%
Shypilov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 30% vs Vlasenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -1 · Vlasenko -5
Vlasenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vlasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vlasenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 1.91 / Vlasenko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vlasenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13095061
Shypilov1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 188 of 400
Down 0–1, comes back28% 61 of 216
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 109
Vlasenko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite45% won 42 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it64% 27 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov5wins
AwayVlasenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov66.7%4 of 6
AwayVlasenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov6Vlasenko4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S2Shypilov5Vlasenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Shypilov2Vlasenko8n = 10Vlasenko took 8 of 10
S4Shypilov4Vlasenko6n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S5Shypilov3Vlasenko0n = 3Shypilov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovVlasenkoS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.141.5+0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovVlasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 778 vs 411 / 93545.8%44%356 / 778 vs 411 / 935Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VlasenkoShypilov 1.91/Vlasenko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vlasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vlasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 24:30A. Shypilov—111114113V. Vlasenko—781651
LAug 26 · 22:45A. Shypilov—1611981V. Vlasenko—18911113
LAug 25 · 22:45A. Shypilov—127481V. Vlasenko—101111113
LAug 21 · 21:30A. Shypilov—10117131V. Vlasenko—12811153
WAug 16 · 07:05A. Shypilov—611711113V. Vlasenko—11411752
WAug 15 · 16:05A. Shypilov—11911113V. Vlasenko—711841
LAug 13 · 22:45A. Shypilov—10117111V. Vlasenko—12811133
WAug 13 · 03:15A. Shypilov—117119113V. Vlasenko—81191182
LAug 12 · 03:15A. Shypilov—117681V. Vlasenko—91111113
WAug 9 · 07:05A. Shypilov—1261011113V. Vlasenko—101112252
A. Shypilov10
LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362LSep 8 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.003370M. Smyrnov1.731111113WSep 8 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.8311128113O. Mitla1.834101121LSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151LSep 3 · 01:45A. Shypilov2.1011411842S. Kalenyk1.67611811113LSep 2 · 23:45M. Smyrnov1.73911119113A. Shypilov2.0011451182WSep 2 · 21:45O. Hura1.6711681182A. Shypilov2.10611116113LSep 2 · 20:45V. Vlasenko1.611111113A. Shypilov2.209990LSep 2 · 02:45A. Shypilov2.006870S. Kalenyk1.731111113
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 9 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73681111132S. Kalenyk2.00111176153LSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123LSep 8 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.10851161O. Napirko1.6711117113LSep 8 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.38511631M. Smyrnov1.5311711113LSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko1.831111411113O. Mitla1.8313811452WSep 6 · 07:05N. Kovalchuk1.5312111141V. Vlasenko2.3814136113WSep 6 · 05:35V. Vlasenko2.1012119113O. Napirko1.671061181WSep 2 · 20:45V. Vlasenko1.611111113A. Shypilov2.209990
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