TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095103
Played Sep 8Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141210811112––
Oleksii Mitla
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Mitla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 69 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Oleksii Mitla at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 45–59 Oleksii Mitla Anton Shypilov has won 45 of their 104 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:49What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mitla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-59 in 104
Mitla
Wrong
gap of 14 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1470 vs Mitla 1465
Shypilov
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 20% vs Mitla 40%
Mitla
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 30% vs Mitla 60%
Mitla
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -3 · Mitla -1
Shypilov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mitla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitla form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 1.83 / Mitla 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mitla)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13095103
Shypilov1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Mitla1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov4wins
AwayMitla6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMitla leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov100%4 of 4
AwayMitla100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov4Mitla6n = 10Mitla took 6 of 10
S2Shypilov6Mitla4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Shypilov5Mitla5n = 10split evenly
S4Shypilov3Mitla5n = 8Mitla took 5 of 8
S5Shypilov1Mitla2n = 3Mitla took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovMitlaS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.539.2+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 774 vs 329 / 75545.7%43.6%354 / 774 vs 329 / 755Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitlaShypilov 1.83/Mitla 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mitla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 19:05A. Shypilov—11119113O. Mitla—271151
LAug 28 · 21:00A. Shypilov—8111191O. Mitla—11132113
LAug 26 · 23:45A. Shypilov—59111172O. Mitla—111186113
LAug 22 · 16:05A. Shypilov—811111282O. Mitla—118614113
WAug 19 · 20:45A. Shypilov—1171110113O. Mitla—91181282
LAug 14 · 02:45A. Shypilov—8112111O. Mitla—11911133
LAug 12 · 21:15A. Shypilov—7119131O. Mitla—11911153
WAug 11 · 21:15A. Shypilov—11118113O. Mitla—881161
WAug 8 · 12:35A. Shypilov—1111113O. Mitla—5950
LAug 4 · 22:45A. Shypilov—81980O. Mitla—1121113
A. Shypilov10
LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362LSep 8 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.003370M. Smyrnov1.731111113LSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151LSep 3 · 01:45A. Shypilov2.1011411842S. Kalenyk1.67611811113LSep 2 · 23:45M. Smyrnov1.73911119113A. Shypilov2.0011451182WSep 2 · 21:45O. Hura1.6711681182A. Shypilov2.10611116113
O. Mitla10
WSep 9 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.53116981O. Mitla2.3871111113WSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:45O. Napirko1.331111113O. Mitla3.257940LSep 9 · 01:45M. Smyrnov1.8011611113O. Mitla1.91311881WSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123LSep 8 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.571111113O. Mitla2.252740LSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141WSep 6 · 10:05O. Mitla2.2541111113S. Kalenyk1.57117791LSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko1.831111411113O. Mitla1.8313811452WSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.