TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100924
Played Sep 9Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911141210121012––
Oleksii Mitla
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Mitla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 90 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Oleksii Mitla at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 45–59 Oleksii Mitla Anton Shypilov has won 45 of their 104 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mitla
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-59 in 104
Mitla
Correct
gap of 14 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1464 vs Mitla 1442
Shypilov
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 40% vs Mitla 20%
Shypilov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 30% vs Mitla 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -2 · Mitla -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mitla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitla form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 1.91 / Mitla 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mitla)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100924
Shypilov1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 189 of 404
Down 0–1, comes back28% 62 of 220
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 113
Mitla1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 64 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it63% 12 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it69% 36 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov4wins
AwayMitla6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMitla leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov100%4 of 4
AwayMitla100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov4Mitla6n = 10Mitla took 6 of 10
S2Shypilov6Mitla4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Shypilov5Mitla5n = 10split evenly
S4Shypilov3Mitla5n = 8Mitla took 5 of 8
S5Shypilov1Mitla2n = 3Mitla took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovMitlaS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.539.2+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 779 vs 330 / 76045.7%43.4%356 / 779 vs 330 / 760Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitlaShypilov 1.91/Mitla 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mitla · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mitla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 19:05A. Shypilov—11119113O. Mitla—271151
LAug 28 · 21:00A. Shypilov—8111191O. Mitla—11132113
LAug 26 · 23:45A. Shypilov—59111172O. Mitla—111186113
LAug 22 · 16:05A. Shypilov—811111282O. Mitla—118614113
WAug 19 · 20:45A. Shypilov—1171110113O. Mitla—91181282
LAug 14 · 02:45A. Shypilov—8112111O. Mitla—11911133
LAug 12 · 21:15A. Shypilov—7119131O. Mitla—11911153
WAug 11 · 21:15A. Shypilov—11118113O. Mitla—881161
WAug 8 · 12:35A. Shypilov—1111113O. Mitla—5950
LAug 4 · 22:45A. Shypilov—81980O. Mitla—1121113
A. Shypilov10
LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362LSep 8 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.003370M. Smyrnov1.731111113WSep 8 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.8311128113O. Mitla1.834101121LSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151LSep 3 · 01:45A. Shypilov2.1011411842S. Kalenyk1.67611811113LSep 2 · 23:45M. Smyrnov1.73911119113A. Shypilov2.0011451182WSep 2 · 21:45O. Hura1.6711681182A. Shypilov2.10611116113LSep 2 · 20:45V. Vlasenko1.611111113A. Shypilov2.209990
O. Mitla10
LSep 9 · 02:45O. Napirko1.331111113O. Mitla3.257940LSep 9 · 01:45M. Smyrnov1.8011611113O. Mitla1.91311881WSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123LSep 8 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.571111113O. Mitla2.252740LSep 8 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.8311128113O. Mitla1.834101121LSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141WSep 6 · 10:05O. Mitla2.2541111113S. Kalenyk1.57117791LSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko1.831111411113O. Mitla1.8313811452WSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra1.50101311962O. Mitla2.501211911113WSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151
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