TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101144
Played Sep 9Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118811511––
Orest Hura
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeOrest Hura to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Orest Hura below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 72 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Orest Hura at 61.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 36–31 Orest Hura Orest Hura has won 31 of their 67 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:19What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hura
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-31 in 67
Shypilov
Wrong
gap of 5 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1451 vs Hura 1622
Hura
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 20% vs Hura 40%
Hura
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 30% vs Hura 50%
Hura
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -3 · Hura +1
Shypilov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hura)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hura form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.20 / Hura 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hura)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13101144
Shypilov2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 189 of 404
Down 0–1, comes back28% 62 of 220
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 113
Hura1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 91 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it98% 44 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it74% 62 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov5wins
AwayHura5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHura62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov2Hura8n = 10Hura took 8 of 10
S2Shypilov5Hura5n = 10split evenly
S3Shypilov4Hura6n = 10Hura took 6 of 10
S4Shypilov3Hura4n = 7Hura took 4 of 7
S5Shypilov4Hura1n = 5Shypilov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovHuraS − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.441.2−0.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 780 vs 417 / 78445.6%53.2%356 / 780 vs 417 / 784Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuraShypilov 2.20/Hura 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Hura · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 21:45A. Shypilov—611116113O. Hura—11681182
LSep 1 · 22:45A. Shypilov—11890O. Hura—1311113
LAug 29 · 15:35A. Shypilov—10790O. Hura—1211113
WAug 28 · 22:30A. Shypilov—51111113O. Hura—115771
LAug 26 · 24:45A. Shypilov—10560O. Hura—1211113
WAug 21 · 20:30A. Shypilov—911711183O. Hura—119119162
LAug 18 · 21:15A. Shypilov—711121182O. Hura—114148113
LAug 16 · 09:35A. Shypilov—1091181O. Hura—12117113
WAug 12 · 22:15A. Shypilov—111199123O. Hura—491111102
WAug 11 · 22:15A. Shypilov—1110118113O. Hura—91241192
A. Shypilov10
LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362LSep 8 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.003370M. Smyrnov1.731111113WSep 8 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.8311128113O. Mitla1.834101121LSep 3 · 03:15O. Mitla1.8011913113A. Shypilov1.918111151LSep 3 · 01:45A. Shypilov2.1011411842S. Kalenyk1.67611811113LSep 2 · 23:45M. Smyrnov1.73911119113A. Shypilov2.0011451182WSep 2 · 21:45O. Hura1.6711681182A. Shypilov2.10611116113
O. Hura10
WSep 9 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.101161171O. Hura1.6713119113LSep 8 · 11:25S. Rak1.301112113O. Hura3.4081060LSep 8 · 09:55O. Hura2.1051771182N. Kovalchuk1.671115114113LSep 8 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.171111113O. Hura4.508440WSep 8 · 05:55I. Romaniak1.364990O. Hura3.001111113LSep 8 · 04:55I. Kozachuk1.3611119113O. Hura3.00571161WSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113LSep 5 · 17:05O. Hura2.007111171S. Kalenyk1.7311813113WSep 5 · 16:05O. Hura1.57117149113V. Vlasenko2.25911121152LSep 2 · 21:45O. Hura1.6711681182A. Shypilov2.10611116113
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