TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101059
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Kalenyk
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117611911811––
Oleksii Mitla
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kalenyk to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Kalenyk above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Kalenyk at 59.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kalenyk 47–29 Oleksii Mitla Oleksii Mitla has won 29 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kalenyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-29 in 76
Kalenyk
Wrong
gap of 18 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kalenyk 1537 vs Mitla 1455
Kalenyk
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kalenyk 60% vs Mitla 40%
Kalenyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kalenyk 70% vs Mitla 40%
Kalenyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kalenyk -1 · Mitla +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kalenyk) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKalenyk 1.53 / Mitla 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kalenyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13101059
Kalenyk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite53% won 114 of 215
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it72% 87 of 121
Mitla2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 167 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back26% 61 of 232
Down 0–2, comes back11% 15 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKalenyk4wins
AwayMitla6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMitla leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKalenyk57.1%4 of 7
AwayMitla100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kalenyk7Mitla3n = 10Kalenyk took 7 of 10
S2Kalenyk6Mitla4n = 10Kalenyk took 6 of 10
S3Kalenyk6Mitla4n = 10Kalenyk took 6 of 10
S4Kalenyk1Mitla5n = 6Mitla took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKalenykMitlaK − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.632.8+3.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKalenykMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 726 vs 331 / 76147.3%43.5%343 / 726 vs 331 / 761Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KalenykKalenyk 1.53/Mitla 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Kalenyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mitla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 22:15S. Kalenyk—1111113O. Mitla—2740
LSep 6 · 10:05S. Kalenyk—117791O. Mitla—41111113
LSep 5 · 24:00S. Kalenyk—87111182O. Mitla—111192113
WSep 2 · 22:15S. Kalenyk—1111113O. Mitla—6580
LSep 1 · 20:15S. Kalenyk—118981O. Mitla—81111113
LAug 20 · 24:15S. Kalenyk—13117392O. Mitla—1171111113
LAug 13 · 22:15S. Kalenyk—911791O. Mitla—11711113
WAug 13 · 24:45S. Kalenyk—1111113O. Mitla—1590
LAug 12 · 24:45S. Kalenyk—8912111O. Mitla—111110133
WAug 7 · 23:30S. Kalenyk—1111113O. Mitla—9860
S. Kalenyk10
LSep 9 · 21:15M. Smyrnov1.57111311113S. Kalenyk2.251311491WSep 9 · 03:15S. Kalenyk2.38135813113M. Smyrnov1.531111111152WSep 9 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73681111132S. Kalenyk2.00111176153LSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362WSep 8 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.571111113O. Mitla2.252740WSep 8 · 21:15O. Napirko1.831110571S. Kalenyk1.8361211113WSep 6 · 11:05V. Vlasenko1.735420S. Kalenyk2.001111113LSep 6 · 10:05O. Mitla2.2541111113S. Kalenyk1.57117791WSep 6 · 08:35N. Kovalchuk1.617121191S. Kalenyk2.2011149113WSep 6 · 06:35O. Napirko1.802101191S. Kalenyk1.9111126113
O. Mitla10
WSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:45O. Napirko1.331111113O. Mitla3.257940LSep 9 · 01:45M. Smyrnov1.8011611113O. Mitla1.91311881WSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123LSep 8 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.571111113O. Mitla2.252740LSep 8 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.8311128113O. Mitla1.834101121LSep 6 · 11:35O. Napirko1.3611119113O. Mitla3.00571141WSep 6 · 10:05O. Mitla2.2541111113S. Kalenyk1.57117791LSep 6 · 08:05V. Vlasenko1.831111411113O. Mitla1.8313811452WSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra1.50101311962O. Mitla2.501211911113
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