TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091865
Played Sep 7Finished
Dominik Pasek
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811113711117611
Frantisek Balcar
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDominik Pasek above · Frantisek Balcar below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Pasek 1–2 Frantisek Balcar Dominik Pasek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Pasek beat Balcar 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Balcar)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPasek 2.63 / Balcar 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Balcar)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13091865
Pasek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 9 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back41% 7 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Balcar1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 29 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it67% 16 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePasek1wins
AwayBalcar2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBalcar leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pasek1Balcar2n = 3Balcar took 2 of 3
S2Pasek2Balcar1n = 3Pasek took 2 of 3
S3Pasek3Balcar0n = 3Pasek took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPasekBalcarP − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.738.0−0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPasekBalcarBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 109 vs 112 / 23443.1%47.9%47 / 109 vs 112 / 234Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalcarPasek 2.63/Balcar 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Balcar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Balcar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 7 · 08:25D. Pasek—1111113F. Balcar—9750
LApr 27 · 21:30D. Pasek—511111082F. Balcar—119912113
LApr 27 · 19:20D. Pasek—961191F. Balcar—11118113
D. Pasek10
WSep 7 · 08:55R. Muller1.91111111472D. Pasek1.80139911113WSep 7 · 08:25F. Balcar1.579750D. Pasek2.251111113LSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153LSep 3 · 21:28D. Pasek1.6784111382J. Dohnal2.101111911113LSep 3 · 20:50D. Pasek2.20147791A. Kral1.61121111113WSep 3 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.80116951D. Pasek1.9191111113LSep 3 · 18:50M. Filipek2.00111310113D. Pasek1.738111251WAug 9 · 10:00D. Pasek2.501211123J. Dvorak1.50109100LAug 9 · 08:55D. Tichy1.731111113D. Pasek2.002140WAug 9 · 08:25J. Dvorak1.40111191362D. Pasek2.755131111113
F. Balcar10
WSep 7 · 09:25M. Filipek1.831196101F. Balcar1.8361111123LSep 7 · 08:25F. Balcar1.579750D. Pasek2.251111113WSep 7 · 06:55R. Muller1.918121111142F. Balcar1.801110139163WSep 4 · 14:35F. Balcar2.25511117113A. Kral1.5711961152LSep 4 · 13:25F. Balcar2.50210111172A. Kral1.50111294113WSep 4 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.8391070F. Balcar1.831112113WSep 4 · 11:25M. Filipek1.8041161372F. Balcar1.911161111113WSep 1 · 17:25F. Balcar1.571111113R. Jamrich2.258770LSep 1 · 16:20F. Balcar2.50811981A. Kral1.5011811113WSep 1 · 15:20F. Balcar1.5771111113R. Jamrich2.25119781
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.