Jakub Dvorak vs Dominik Pasek 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12385164

Played Aug 9Finished

Jakub Dvorak

Home

1.40

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

11511139111311611

Dominik Pasek

Away

2.75

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:04 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%

Graded at full time

Jakub Dvorak to win

66.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingJakub Dvorak above · Dominik Pasek below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 13-11

Set 5 · 6-11

Point 101 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jakub Dvorak at 66.3%

101 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Dvorak 3–0 Dominik Pasek Dominik Pasek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 3–0Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 23:04

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.40 (66%)

Dvorak

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

3-0 in 3

Dvorak

Wrong

gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Dvorak 1575 vs Pasek 1418

Dvorak

Wrong

both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Dvorak 80% vs Pasek 40%

Dvorak

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Dvorak 70% vs Pasek 40%

Dvorak

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Dvorak +2 · Pasek -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Dvorak)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDvorak 1.40 / Pasek 2.75

Signal prob.66% / 34%

Edge (Dvorak)+0.0pp

TT Cup · #12385164

Dvorak1.40

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite51% won 24 of 47

Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13

Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25

Pasek2.75

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog35% won 8 of 23

Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20

Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeDvorak3wins

AwayPasek0wins

1 of 3 to a deciderDvorak leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dvorak2Pasek1n = 3Dvorak took 2 of 3

S2Dvorak3Pasek0n = 3Dvorak took 3 of 3

S3Dvorak1Pasek2n = 3Pasek took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home133%

3–1Four sets, home133%

3–2Decider, home133%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 3 meetings

MetricDvorakPasekD − PBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.731.0+8.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDvorakPasekBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 335 vs 48 / 11149.9%43.2%167 / 335 vs 48 / 111Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.539.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dvorak

Dvorak 1.40/Pasek 2.75

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

66.3%

Dvorak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Pasek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record3

WApr 12 · 08:55J. Dvorak—1111113D. Pasek—5660

WApr 4 · 08:55J. Dvorak—511411143D. Pasek—116113122

WJul 19 · 08:50J. Dvorak—12117113D. Pasek—1051171

J. Dvorak10

LSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671 LSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113 WSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780 WSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102 LSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173 LSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113 WSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171 WSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192 WAug 31 · 18:30J. Dvorak2.001111113J. Melichar1.732220 WAug 31 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.101111163J. Melichar1.6756140

D. Pasek10

WSep 7 · 08:25F. Balcar1.579750D. Pasek2.251111113 LSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153 LSep 3 · 21:28D. Pasek1.6784111382J. Dohnal2.101111911113 LSep 3 · 20:50D. Pasek2.20147791A. Kral1.61121111113 WSep 3 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.80116951D. Pasek1.9191111113 LSep 3 · 18:50M. Filipek2.00111310113D. Pasek1.738111251 WAug 9 · 10:00D. Pasek2.501211123J. Dvorak1.50109100 LAug 9 · 08:55D. Tichy1.731111113D. Pasek2.002140 LAug 9 · 07:25D. Pasek2.509131151J. Kulveit1.5011157113 WJun 21 · 10:00D. Pasek1.9151111113D. Vojna1.80115981

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