TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12385098
Played Aug 9Finished
Dominik Tichy
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112111114––––
Dominik Pasek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Tichy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Tichy above · Dominik Pasek below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 40 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Dominik Tichy at 54.0%
40 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:42What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tichy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Tichy 1529 vs Pasek 1418
Tichy
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tichy 60% vs Pasek 40%
Tichy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tichy 40% vs Pasek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tichy +1 · Pasek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tichy)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTichy 1.73 / Pasek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tichy)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12385098
Tichy1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 120 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 94 of 113
Pasek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 8 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTichyPasekBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 215 vs 48 / 11167%43.2%144 / 215 vs 48 / 111Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TichyTichy 1.73/Pasek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tichy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tichy won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Tichy10
WSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123WSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113LSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WAug 31 · 17:18M. Beran1.67711511102D. Tichy2.10117116123LAug 31 · 15:50M. Beran1.61111111113D. Tichy2.20551341LAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113LAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123WAug 30 · 13:25J. Melichar1.837411121D. Tichy1.8311118143
D. Pasek10
WSep 7 · 08:25F. Balcar1.579750D. Pasek2.251111113LSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153LSep 3 · 21:28D. Pasek1.6784111382J. Dohnal2.101111911113LSep 3 · 20:50D. Pasek2.20147791A. Kral1.61121111113WSep 3 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.80116951D. Pasek1.9191111113LSep 3 · 18:50M. Filipek2.00111310113D. Pasek1.738111251WAug 9 · 10:00D. Pasek2.501211123J. Dvorak1.50109100WAug 9 · 08:25J. Dvorak1.40111191362D. Pasek2.755131111113LAug 9 · 07:25D. Pasek2.509131151J. Kulveit1.5011157113WJun 21 · 10:00D. Pasek1.9151111113D. Vojna1.80115981
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