TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071248
Played Sep 3Finished
Martin Filipek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11813111012115––
Dominik Pasek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDominik Pasek to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Filipek above · Dominik Pasek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 81 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Dominik Pasek at 57.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Martin Filipek 0–1 Dominik Pasek Martin Filipek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Filipek 1487 vs Pasek 1441
Filipek
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filipek 40% vs Pasek 60%
Pasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filipek 30% vs Pasek 50%
Pasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Filipek +1 · Pasek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pasek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilipek 2.00 / Pasek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pasek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13071248
Filipek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 86 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back28% 27 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Pasek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFilipek0wins
AwayPasek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPasek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFilipekPasekF − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match52.057.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilipekPasekBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 580 vs 44 / 10243.6%43.1%253 / 580 vs 44 / 102Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PasekFilipek 2.00/Pasek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 24 · 18:55M. Filipek—6101114112D. Pasek—1112912133
M. Filipek10
LSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471WSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153WSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173WSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101LSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251LSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121LSep 4 · 12:25A. Kral2.0011111517113M. Filipek1.7348171962LSep 4 · 11:25M. Filipek1.8041161372F. Balcar1.911161111113
D. Pasek10
WSep 7 · 08:25F. Balcar1.579750D. Pasek2.251111113LSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153LSep 3 · 21:28D. Pasek1.6784111382J. Dohnal2.101111911113LSep 3 · 20:50D. Pasek2.20147791A. Kral1.61121111113WSep 3 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.80116951D. Pasek1.9191111113WAug 9 · 10:00D. Pasek2.501211123J. Dvorak1.50109100LAug 9 · 08:55D. Tichy1.731111113D. Pasek2.002140WAug 9 · 08:25J. Dvorak1.40111191362D. Pasek2.755131111113LAug 9 · 07:25D. Pasek2.509131151J. Kulveit1.5011157113WJun 21 · 10:00D. Pasek1.9151111113D. Vojna1.80115981
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