TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089288
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Naida
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911511114811––
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Naida above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 66.7%
70 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:00What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Naida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Naida 1485 vs Khandetskyi 1494
Khandetskyi
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Naida 80% vs Khandetskyi 40%
Naida
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Naida 40% vs Khandetskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Naida +4 · Khandetskyi -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Naida) · live re-read · sealed at 33% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Naida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNaida 1.44 / Khandetskyi 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Naida)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089288
Naida1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 96 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it86% 51 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it72% 73 of 102
Khandetskyi2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 96 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNaidaKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 940 vs 395 / 79251.5%49.9%484 / 940 vs 395 / 792Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NaidaNaida 1.44/Khandetskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Naida · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khandetskyi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Naida10
WSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123WSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 15:25O. Naida1.7311119113H. Kulishov2.00361141WSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113LSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830LSep 4 · 24:55O. Naida2.103680D. Derevynskyi1.671111113LSep 3 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy1.8351118133O. Naida1.8311816111LSep 3 · 22:25O. Naida2.757660S. Abalmaz1.401111113LSep 1 · 03:55O. Naida1.8396110R. Gnoevoy1.831111133
S. Khandetskyi10
LSep 7 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.806171251H. Kulishov1.91111514113LSep 7 · 16:55V. Kobets1.8311119113S. Khandetskyi1.83441181LSep 7 · 14:55O. Melashenko2.101311133S. Khandetskyi1.67116110WSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143
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