TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088668
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Naida
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113116911114––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Naida above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 66 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 67.6%
66 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:11What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Naida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Naida 1446 vs Kulishov 1542
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Naida 20% vs Kulishov 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Naida 30% vs Kulishov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Naida +1 · Kulishov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNaida 1.73 / Kulishov 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kulishov)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13088668
Naida1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 96 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it86% 51 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it72% 73 of 102
Kulishov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog57% won 66 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back42% 20 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back30% 6 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNaidaKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 937 vs 483 / 94151.3%51.3%481 / 937 vs 483 / 941Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovNaida 1.73/Kulishov 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Naida won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Naida10
WSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113LSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830LSep 4 · 24:55O. Naida2.103680D. Derevynskyi1.671111113LSep 3 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy1.8351118133O. Naida1.8311816111LSep 3 · 22:25O. Naida2.757660S. Abalmaz1.401111113LSep 1 · 03:55O. Naida1.8396110R. Gnoevoy1.831111133LSep 1 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.101111113O. Naida1.679940WSep 1 · 24:55O. Naida2.10311511113D. Derevynskyi1.6711211162
H. Kulishov10
LSep 7 · 13:25O. Melashenko2.2011611113H. Kulishov1.61711991WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113
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