TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088899
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Melashenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611119119––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Melashenko above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 57.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Melashenko 9–8 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melashenko 1518 vs Kulishov 1556
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melashenko 60% vs Kulishov 40%
Melashenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melashenko 60% vs Kulishov 40%
Melashenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melashenko -1 · Kulishov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelashenko 2.20 / Kulishov 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kulishov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088899
Melashenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 111 of 285
Down 0–1, comes back23% 40 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 94
Kulishov1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 188 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it95% 105 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it74% 142 of 192
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelashenko7wins
AwayKulishov3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMelashenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelashenko100%6 of 6
AwayKulishov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melashenko6Kulishov4n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S2Melashenko4Kulishov6n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Melashenko6Kulishov4n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S4Melashenko4Kulishov5n = 9Kulishov took 5 of 9
S5Melashenko4Kulishov1n = 5Melashenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelashenkoKulishovM − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.442.9+0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelashenkoKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 856 vs 483 / 94050.9%51.4%436 / 856 vs 483 / 940Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovMelashenko 2.20/Kulishov 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WDec 29 · 01:05O. Melashenko—138118123H. Kulishov—1111411102
WNov 23 · 22:35O. Melashenko—125118113H. Kulishov—101151182
LNov 17 · 04:05O. Melashenko—741371H. Kulishov—111111113
WOct 6 · 02:05O. Melashenko—118114113H. Kulishov—51151122
WAug 15 · 01:35O. Melashenko—141110133H. Kulishov—12912111
WJun 9 · 21:35O. Melashenko—11139123H. Kulishov—91111101
WJun 2 · 01:05O. Melashenko—113915143H. Kulishov—8111113122
LMay 27 · 02:35O. Melashenko—91112972H. Kulishov—1151011113
WMay 25 · 23:35O. Melashenko—91111133H. Kulishov—1179111
LMay 11 · 23:05O. Melashenko—4990H. Kulishov—1111113
O. Melashenko10
LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.6781111113M. Marchuk2.10116771LSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113WSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113LSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113LSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101WSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141WSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113WSep 4 · 22:05O. Melashenko3.2591211123V. Lobas1.3311109101
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113
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