TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089253
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Melashenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315511711––––
Oleksandr Naida
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Melashenko to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Melashenko above · Oleksandr Naida below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 62 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Melashenko at 61.7%
62 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Melashenko 18–19 Oleksandr Naida Oleksandr Melashenko has won 18 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Melashenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-19 in 37
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melashenko 1545 vs Naida 1461
Melashenko
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melashenko 60% vs Naida 40%
Melashenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melashenko 60% vs Naida 30%
Melashenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melashenko +2 · Naida +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Melashenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelashenko 1.57 / Naida 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Melashenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089253
Melashenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 88 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 51 of 70
Naida2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 95 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back27% 33 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelashenko7wins
AwayNaida3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMelashenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelashenko100%5 of 5
AwayNaida60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melashenko5Naida5n = 10split evenly
S2Melashenko6Naida4n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S3Melashenko6Naida4n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S4Melashenko2Naida3n = 5Naida took 3 of 5
S5Melashenko3Naida0n = 3Melashenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelashenkoNaidaM − NBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.534.7−0.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelashenkoNaidaBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 853 vs 482 / 93851.1%51.4%436 / 853 vs 482 / 938Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelashenkoMelashenko 1.57/Naida 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Melashenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Naida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 22:25O. Melashenko—51380O. Naida—1115113
WJul 27 · 03:55O. Melashenko—71111113O. Naida—119651
WJul 14 · 24:55O. Melashenko—1111133O. Naida—78110
WJul 8 · 15:55O. Melashenko—421111113O. Naida—11119582
WJul 7 · 21:55O. Melashenko—1111113O. Naida—6660
WJun 24 · 20:25O. Melashenko—1111113O. Naida—8880
WJun 23 · 03:25O. Melashenko—1141111113O. Naida—81191372
WJun 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko—111139113O. Naida—48111162
LJun 2 · 21:25O. Melashenko—9630O. Naida—1111113
LJun 2 · 24:25O. Melashenko—1133111O. Naida—111111133
O. Melashenko10
WSep 7 · 14:55O. Melashenko2.101311133S. Khandetskyi1.67116110WSep 7 · 13:25O. Melashenko2.2011611113H. Kulishov1.61711991LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.6781111113M. Marchuk2.10116771LSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113WSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113LSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113LSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101WSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141
O. Naida10
WSep 7 · 15:25O. Naida1.7311119113H. Kulishov2.00361141WSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113LSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830LSep 4 · 24:55O. Naida2.103680D. Derevynskyi1.671111113LSep 3 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy1.8351118133O. Naida1.8311816111LSep 3 · 22:25O. Naida2.757660S. Abalmaz1.401111113LSep 1 · 03:55O. Naida1.8396110R. Gnoevoy1.831111133LSep 1 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.101111113O. Naida1.679940WSep 1 · 24:55O. Naida2.10311511113D. Derevynskyi1.6711211162
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