TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088690
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Melashenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111161311––––
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Melashenko above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 65 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Melashenko 23–37 Serhii Khandetskyi Oleksandr Melashenko has won 23 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khandetskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-37 in 60
Khandetskyi
Wrong
gap of 14 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melashenko 1531 vs Khandetskyi 1531
Khandetskyi
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melashenko 60% vs Khandetskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melashenko 60% vs Khandetskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melashenko +1 · Khandetskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khandetskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelashenko 2.10 / Khandetskyi 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khandetskyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13088690
Melashenko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 111 of 285
Down 0–1, comes back23% 40 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 94
Khandetskyi1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 62 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it71% 46 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelashenko4wins
AwayKhandetskyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelashenko50%2 of 4
AwayKhandetskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melashenko4Khandetskyi6n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S2Melashenko6Khandetskyi4n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S3Melashenko3Khandetskyi7n = 10Khandetskyi took 7 of 10
S4Melashenko3Khandetskyi4n = 7Khandetskyi took 4 of 7
S5Melashenko2Khandetskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelashenkoKhandetskyiM − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.039.9−2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelashenkoKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 852 vs 395 / 78951.1%50.1%435 / 852 vs 395 / 789Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiMelashenko 2.10/Khandetskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko—111176102S. Khandetskyi—771111123
LAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko—7118121S. Khandetskyi—11711143
LAug 25 · 16:25O. Melashenko—31070S. Khandetskyi—1112113
WAug 18 · 15:55O. Melashenko—1311113S. Khandetskyi—11890
WAug 17 · 16:55O. Melashenko—11119113S. Khandetskyi—661191
LAug 5 · 13:55O. Melashenko—7390S. Khandetskyi—1111113
WAug 3 · 20:25O. Melashenko—611118133S. Khandetskyi—117211112
LJul 29 · 18:25O. Melashenko—512891S. Khandetskyi—111011113
WJun 10 · 14:55O. Melashenko—491111113S. Khandetskyi—11118992
LJun 10 · 02:04O. Melashenko—11581172S. Khandetskyi—711118113
O. Melashenko10
WSep 7 · 13:25O. Melashenko2.2011611113H. Kulishov1.61711991LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.6781111113M. Marchuk2.10116771LSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113WSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113LSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113LSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101WSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141WSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113WAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113LAug 31 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov2.0011413103S. Khandetskyi1.738111181
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