TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089187
Played Sep 7Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711711711––
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Ishchyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Pavlo Ishchyk at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ishchyk 17–11 Serhii Khandetskyi Serhii Khandetskyi has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khandetskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-11 in 28
Ishchyk
Wrong
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1380 vs Khandetskyi 1524
Khandetskyi
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 0% vs Khandetskyi 40%
Khandetskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 20% vs Khandetskyi 50%
Khandetskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk -5 · Khandetskyi +1
Ishchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khandetskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khandetskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 1.83 / Khandetskyi 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khandetskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089187
Ishchyk1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Khandetskyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIshchyk6wins
AwayKhandetskyi4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderIshchyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIshchyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayKhandetskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ishchyk6Khandetskyi4n = 10Ishchyk took 6 of 10
S2Ishchyk6Khandetskyi4n = 10Ishchyk took 6 of 10
S3Ishchyk7Khandetskyi3n = 10Ishchyk took 7 of 10
S4Ishchyk2Khandetskyi4n = 6Khandetskyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIshchykKhandetskyiI − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.134.5+3.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 148 vs 395 / 79835.1%49.5%52 / 148 vs 395 / 798Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiIshchyk 1.83/Khandetskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khandetskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk—1011117102S. Khandetskyi—126211123
WAug 24 · 19:25P. Ishchyk—1211113S. Khandetskyi—10670
LAug 5 · 16:55P. Ishchyk—118771S. Khandetskyi—91111113
WAug 3 · 14:25P. Ishchyk—11812113S. Khandetskyi—3111061
WJul 29 · 14:25P. Ishchyk—1211133S. Khandetskyi—109110
WJul 6 · 14:25P. Ishchyk—1111113S. Khandetskyi—4590
WJun 30 · 18:25P. Ishchyk—11111110123S. Khandetskyi—671312102
LJun 29 · 19:25P. Ishchyk—91250S. Khandetskyi—1114113
LJun 23 · 19:25P. Ishchyk—4111181S. Khandetskyi—11139113
WJun 22 · 17:25P. Ishchyk—61111113S. Khandetskyi—119921
P. Ishchyk10
LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113LAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.209780LAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk1.571011117102S. Khandetskyi2.25126211123WAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113LAug 24 · 18:25P. Ishchyk2.10117116112H. Kulishov1.67911611133WAug 24 · 17:25P. Ishchyk1.80961211123A. Yakovenko1.911111108102LAug 24 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.7311780V. Kobets2.001311113LAug 24 · 13:55P. Ishchyk2.637370K. Hrynenko1.441111113
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113WAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113WAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk1.571011117102S. Khandetskyi2.25126211123LAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113
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