TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482455
Played Aug 24Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611711––––
Pavlo Ishchyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Pavlo Ishchyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 9–16 Pavlo Ishchyk Serhii Khandetskyi has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:17What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ishchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-16 in 25
Ishchyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1503 vs Ishchyk 1418
Khandetskyi
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Ishchyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 50% vs Ishchyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi -1 · Ishchyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ishchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 1.91 / Ishchyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ishchyk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12482455
Khandetskyi1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog53% won 105 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back31% 32 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 49
Ishchyk1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 21 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it63% 15 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi3wins
AwayIshchyk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderIshchyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi50%2 of 4
AwayIshchyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi4Ishchyk6n = 10Ishchyk took 6 of 10
S2Khandetskyi5Ishchyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Khandetskyi3Ishchyk7n = 10Ishchyk took 7 of 10
S4Khandetskyi3Ishchyk4n = 7Ishchyk took 4 of 7
S5Khandetskyi1Ishchyk2n = 3Ishchyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiIshchykK − IBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.540.0−2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiIshchykBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 797 vs 51 / 14249.3%35.9%393 / 797 vs 51 / 142Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchykKhandetskyi 1.91/Ishchyk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ishchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ishchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 14:25S. Khandetskyi—3111061P. Ishchyk—11812113
LJul 29 · 14:25S. Khandetskyi—109110P. Ishchyk—1211133
LJul 6 · 14:25S. Khandetskyi—4590P. Ishchyk—1111113
LJun 30 · 18:25S. Khandetskyi—671312102P. Ishchyk—11111110123
WJun 29 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi—1114113P. Ishchyk—91250
WJun 23 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi—11139113P. Ishchyk—4111181
LJun 22 · 17:25S. Khandetskyi—119921P. Ishchyk—61111113
WJun 18 · 13:55S. Khandetskyi—9111211113P. Ishchyk—113101362
LJun 10 · 13:55S. Khandetskyi—91111101P. Ishchyk—11913123
LJun 8 · 13:55S. Khandetskyi—11661282P. Ishchyk—4111110113
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113WAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113LAug 31 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov2.0011413103S. Khandetskyi1.738111181WAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun1.8373120S. Khandetskyi1.831111143
P. Ishchyk10
LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113LAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.209780LAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk1.571011117102S. Khandetskyi2.25126211123LAug 24 · 18:25P. Ishchyk2.10117116112H. Kulishov1.67911611133WAug 24 · 17:25P. Ishchyk1.80961211123A. Yakovenko1.911111108102LAug 24 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.7311780V. Kobets2.001311113LAug 24 · 13:55P. Ishchyk2.637370K. Hrynenko1.441111113WAug 5 · 19:55P. Ishchyk3.25114811113S. Skachenko1.3381111872
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