TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362900
Played Aug 5Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118411811118117
Serhii Skachenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:26 and never touched — 77.9% is still 77.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Skachenko to win
77.9%
77.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Serhii Skachenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 90 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Skachenko at 77.9%
90 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Skachenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1417 vs Skachenko 1585
Skachenko
Wrong
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 40% vs Skachenko 60%
Skachenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 50% vs Skachenko 70%
Skachenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk -2 · Skachenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Skachenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skachenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 3.25 / Skachenko 1.33
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Skachenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12362900
Ishchyk3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 25 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Skachenko1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 23 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykSkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 137 vs 95 / 24835.8%38.3%49 / 137 vs 95 / 248Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkachenkoIshchyk 3.25/Skachenko 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.9%
Skachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ishchyk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Ishchyk10
LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113LAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.209780LAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk1.571011117102S. Khandetskyi2.25126211123WAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113LAug 24 · 18:25P. Ishchyk2.10117116112H. Kulishov1.67911611133WAug 24 · 17:25P. Ishchyk1.80961211123A. Yakovenko1.911111108102LAug 24 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.7311780V. Kobets2.001311113LAug 24 · 13:55P. Ishchyk2.637370K. Hrynenko1.441111113
S. Skachenko10
LSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.8311813113S. Skachenko1.834111181WSep 2 · 02:55T. Ponomarenko2.1088170S. Skachenko1.671111193LSep 2 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.611111113S. Skachenko2.205470LSep 1 · 23:25S. Abalmaz1.911011116113S. Skachenko1.8012951192WSep 1 · 21:25V. Khamurda1.805101171S. Skachenko1.9111126113LAug 28 · 18:35S. Skachenko1.839111121V. Khamurda1.8311138113WAug 28 · 17:05S. Skachenko1.831211143S. Abalmaz1.83106120LAug 28 · 15:35S. Skachenko1.6711591672O. Naida2.104111114113WAug 28 · 14:05S. Skachenko1.91117811113R. Gnoevoy1.8051111982WAug 28 · 12:35S. Skachenko1.8011911153T. Ponomarenko1.913115131
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