TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13008534
Played Aug 25Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121161127111012
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:48 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timePavlo Ishchyk to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 92 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Pavlo Ishchyk at 60.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ishchyk 17–10 Serhii Khandetskyi Serhii Khandetskyi has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Ishchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-10 in 27
Ishchyk
Wrong
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1436 vs Khandetskyi 1485
Khandetskyi
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 40% vs Khandetskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 50% vs Khandetskyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk +1 · Khandetskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Ishchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 1.57 / Khandetskyi 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Ishchyk)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13008534
Ishchyk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 23 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it64% 16 of 25
Khandetskyi2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 102 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back30% 30 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIshchyk6wins
AwayKhandetskyi4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderIshchyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIshchyk71.4%5 of 7
AwayKhandetskyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ishchyk7Khandetskyi3n = 10Ishchyk took 7 of 10
S2Ishchyk5Khandetskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Ishchyk6Khandetskyi4n = 10Ishchyk took 6 of 10
S4Ishchyk3Khandetskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIshchykKhandetskyiI − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.535.6+1.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 143 vs 393 / 79836.4%49.3%52 / 143 vs 393 / 798Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchykIshchyk 1.57/Khandetskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Ishchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khandetskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 19:25P. Ishchyk—1211113S. Khandetskyi—10670
LAug 5 · 16:55P. Ishchyk—118771S. Khandetskyi—91111113
WAug 3 · 14:25P. Ishchyk—11812113S. Khandetskyi—3111061
WJul 29 · 14:25P. Ishchyk—1211133S. Khandetskyi—109110
WJul 6 · 14:25P. Ishchyk—1111113S. Khandetskyi—4590
WJun 30 · 18:25P. Ishchyk—11111110123S. Khandetskyi—671312102
LJun 29 · 19:25P. Ishchyk—91250S. Khandetskyi—1114113
LJun 23 · 19:25P. Ishchyk—4111181S. Khandetskyi—11139113
WJun 22 · 17:25P. Ishchyk—61111113S. Khandetskyi—119921
LJun 18 · 13:55P. Ishchyk—113101362S. Khandetskyi—9111211113
P. Ishchyk10
LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113LAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.209780WAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113LAug 24 · 18:25P. Ishchyk2.10117116112H. Kulishov1.67911611133WAug 24 · 17:25P. Ishchyk1.80961211123A. Yakovenko1.911111108102LAug 24 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.7311780V. Kobets2.001311113LAug 24 · 13:55P. Ishchyk2.637370K. Hrynenko1.441111113WAug 5 · 19:55P. Ishchyk3.25114811113S. Skachenko1.3381111872
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113WAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113LAug 31 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov2.0011413103S. Khandetskyi1.738111181LAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113
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