TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482448
Played Aug 24Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91161112101181210
Anton Yakovenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Yakovenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Anton Yakovenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 100 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Anton Yakovenko at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ishchyk 0–1 Anton Yakovenko Pavlo Ishchyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ishchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1414 vs Yakovenko 1416
Yakovenko
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 20% vs Yakovenko 0%
Ishchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 30% vs Yakovenko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk -2 · Yakovenko -5
Yakovenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ishchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yakovenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 1.80 / Yakovenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ishchyk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12482448
Ishchyk1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 21 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it63% 15 of 24
Yakovenko1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back27% 26 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeIshchyk0wins
AwayYakovenko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderYakovenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricIshchykYakovenkoI − YBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.043.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykYakovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 140 vs 258 / 49835.7%51.8%50 / 140 vs 258 / 498Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchykIshchyk 1.80/Yakovenko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ishchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ishchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 10 · 17:25P. Ishchyk—11118972A. Yakovenko—641111113
P. Ishchyk10
LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113LAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.209780LAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk1.571011117102S. Khandetskyi2.25126211123WAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113LAug 24 · 18:25P. Ishchyk2.10117116112H. Kulishov1.67911611133LAug 24 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.7311780V. Kobets2.001311113LAug 24 · 13:55P. Ishchyk2.637370K. Hrynenko1.441111113WAug 5 · 19:55P. Ishchyk3.25114811113S. Skachenko1.3381111872
A. Yakovenko10
LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko3.401412241H. Kulishov1.30121411113LSep 1 · 01:35A. Yakovenko2.38591171M. Fomin1.5311117113WSep 1 · 24:05A. Yakovenko1.5711811123M. Skliar2.257119101WAug 31 · 22:35A. Yakovenko2.0041111113A. Peretiatko1.73118691LAug 31 · 21:05A. Yakovenko2.10119101362D. Kim1.677111211113LAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko3.40191161H. Kulishov1.3011118113WAug 28 · 01:05A. Yakovenko2.001113118113D. Kim1.7381591192WAug 27 · 23:35A. Yakovenko2.101113113A. Peretiatko1.6761190WAug 27 · 21:35A. Yakovenko2.001111113M. Skliar1.737770
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