TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13008557
Played Aug 25Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111517811––––
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:47 and never touched — 74.8% is still 74.8%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
74.8%
74.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Kostiantyn Hrynenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 67 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 74.8%
67 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ishchyk 1–5 Kostiantyn Hrynenko Pavlo Ishchyk has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Hrynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Hrynenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1399 vs Hrynenko 1604
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 40% vs Hrynenko 60%
Hrynenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 30% vs Hrynenko 50%
Hrynenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk -2 · Hrynenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Hrynenko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrynenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 3.00 / Hrynenko 1.36
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Hrynenko)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #13008557
Ishchyk3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 28 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back14% 8 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Hrynenko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 41 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it74% 32 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeIshchyk1wins
AwayHrynenko5wins
Hrynenko leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIshchykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHrynenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ishchyk1Hrynenko5n = 6Hrynenko took 5 of 6
S2Ishchyk1Hrynenko5n = 6Hrynenko took 5 of 6
S3Ishchyk0Hrynenko6n = 6Hrynenko took 6 of 6
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away583%
These 6 meetings
MetricIshchykHrynenkoI − HBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match24.834.0−9.2per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykHrynenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 146 vs 417 / 90035.6%46.3%52 / 146 vs 417 / 900Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoIshchyk 3.00/Hrynenko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk—51580K. Hrynenko—1117113
LAug 24 · 13:55P. Ishchyk—7370K. Hrynenko—1111113
LAug 5 · 17:55P. Ishchyk—12660K. Hrynenko—1411113
LAug 3 · 19:55P. Ishchyk—7990K. Hrynenko—1111113
WJul 29 · 19:55P. Ishchyk—11118113K. Hrynenko—751171
LJul 21 · 17:25P. Ishchyk—5540K. Hrynenko—1111113
P. Ishchyk10
LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.209780LAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk1.571011117102S. Khandetskyi2.25126211123WAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113LAug 24 · 18:25P. Ishchyk2.10117116112H. Kulishov1.67911611133WAug 24 · 17:25P. Ishchyk1.80961211123A. Yakovenko1.911111108102LAug 24 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.7311780V. Kobets2.001311113LAug 24 · 13:55P. Ishchyk2.637370K. Hrynenko1.441111113WAug 5 · 19:55P. Ishchyk3.25114811113S. Skachenko1.3381111872
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.508850V. Lobas1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113WAug 24 · 13:55P. Ishchyk2.637370K. Hrynenko1.441111113
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