TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13008547
Played Aug 25Finished
Serhii Pitsyk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117118––––
Pavlo Ishchyk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:47 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Pitsyk above · Pavlo Ishchyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 61.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Pitsyk 7–2 Pavlo Ishchyk Pavlo Ishchyk has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:47What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pitsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Pitsyk
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pitsyk 1531 vs Ishchyk 1399
Pitsyk
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pitsyk 40% vs Ishchyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pitsyk 40% vs Ishchyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pitsyk +1 · Ishchyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Pitsyk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitsyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPitsyk 1.61 / Ishchyk 2.20
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Pitsyk)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #13008547
Pitsyk1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 118 of 200
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it81% 83 of 103
Ishchyk2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 28 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back14% 8 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePitsyk7wins
AwayIshchyk2wins
6 of 9 to a deciderPitsyk leads 7–2, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePitsyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayIshchyk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pitsyk6Ishchyk3n = 9Pitsyk took 6 of 9
S2Pitsyk5Ishchyk4n = 9Pitsyk took 5 of 9
S3Pitsyk4Ishchyk5n = 9Ishchyk took 5 of 9
S4Pitsyk6Ishchyk2n = 8Pitsyk took 6 of 8
S5Pitsyk4Ishchyk2n = 6Pitsyk took 4 of 6
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPitsykIshchykP − IBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match45.741.0+4.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPitsykIshchykBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 587 vs 52 / 14653.3%35.6%313 / 587 vs 52 / 146Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykPitsyk 1.61/Ishchyk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pitsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk—1111113P. Ishchyk—9780
LJul 21 · 15:55S. Pitsyk—121051242P. Ishchyk—10121110113
WJun 30 · 19:25S. Pitsyk—1210811113P. Ishchyk—101211672
WJun 22 · 13:55S. Pitsyk—811117113P. Ishchyk—11671192
WJun 18 · 15:55S. Pitsyk—111211113P. Ishchyk—6101331
WJun 8 · 17:25S. Pitsyk—11811113P. Ishchyk—811951
WJun 4 · 15:25S. Pitsyk—1511711113P. Ishchyk—17611282
WApr 13 · 17:25S. Pitsyk—117124113P. Ishchyk—611101172
LMar 30 · 19:25S. Pitsyk—101191182P. Ishchyk—127116113
S. Pitsyk10
WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740WSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181
P. Ishchyk10
LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113LAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk1.571011117102S. Khandetskyi2.25126211123WAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113LAug 24 · 18:25P. Ishchyk2.10117116112H. Kulishov1.67911611133WAug 24 · 17:25P. Ishchyk1.80961211123A. Yakovenko1.911111108102LAug 24 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.7311780V. Kobets2.001311113LAug 24 · 13:55P. Ishchyk2.637370K. Hrynenko1.441111113WAug 5 · 19:55P. Ishchyk3.25114811113S. Skachenko1.3381111872
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