TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482496
Played Aug 24Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311711––––
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:31 and never touched — 71.5% is still 71.5%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
71.5%
71.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Kostiantyn Hrynenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 71.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ishchyk 1–3 Kostiantyn Hrynenko Pavlo Ishchyk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hrynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Hrynenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1433 vs Hrynenko 1576
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 60% vs Hrynenko 40%
Ishchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 50% vs Hrynenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk +1 · Hrynenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Hrynenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrynenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 2.63 / Hrynenko 1.44
Signal prob.29% / 72%
Edge (Hrynenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12482496
Ishchyk2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 28 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back14% 8 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Hrynenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 38 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 30 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeIshchyk1wins
AwayHrynenko3wins
Hrynenko leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIshchykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHrynenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ishchyk1Hrynenko3n = 4Hrynenko took 3 of 4
S2Ishchyk1Hrynenko3n = 4Hrynenko took 3 of 4
S3Ishchyk0Hrynenko4n = 4Hrynenko took 4 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away375%
These 4 meetings
MetricIshchykHrynenkoI − HBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match26.033.0−7.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykHrynenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 138 vs 411 / 89236.2%46.1%50 / 138 vs 411 / 892Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoIshchyk 2.63/Hrynenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.5%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 5 · 17:55P. Ishchyk—12660K. Hrynenko—1411113
LAug 3 · 19:55P. Ishchyk—7990K. Hrynenko—1111113
WJul 29 · 19:55P. Ishchyk—11118113K. Hrynenko—751171
LJul 21 · 17:25P. Ishchyk—5540K. Hrynenko—1111113
P. Ishchyk10
LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113LAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.209780LAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk1.571011117102S. Khandetskyi2.25126211123WAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113LAug 24 · 18:25P. Ishchyk2.10117116112H. Kulishov1.67911611133WAug 24 · 17:25P. Ishchyk1.80961211123A. Yakovenko1.911111108102LAug 24 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.7311780V. Kobets2.001311113WAug 5 · 19:55P. Ishchyk3.25114811113S. Skachenko1.3381111872
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.508850V. Lobas1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113WAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113
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