TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089110
Played Sep 7Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61117151214511––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 91 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 13–9 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:00What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Khandetskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-9 in 22
Khandetskyi
Wrong
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1504 vs Kulishov 1534
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Kulishov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Kulishov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi -2 · Kulishov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 1.80 / Kulishov 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kulishov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13089110
Khandetskyi1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 62 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it71% 46 of 65
Kulishov1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog57% won 66 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back42% 20 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back30% 6 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi7wins
AwayKulishov3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi83.3%5 of 6
AwayKulishov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi6Kulishov4n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S2Khandetskyi8Kulishov2n = 10Khandetskyi took 8 of 10
S3Khandetskyi6Kulishov4n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S4Khandetskyi2Kulishov4n = 6Kulishov took 4 of 6
S5Khandetskyi2Kulishov1n = 3Khandetskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiKulishovKhandetskyi − KulishovBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.237.2+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 791 vs 484 / 94349.9%51.3%395 / 791 vs 484 / 943Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKhandetskyi 1.80/Kulishov 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi—1111113H. Kulishov—7780
LMar 20 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi—6980H. Kulishov—1111113
LMar 19 · 23:05S. Khandetskyi—116891H. Kulishov—41111113
WMar 19 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi—111148123H. Kulishov—991111102
WMar 12 · 22:05S. Khandetskyi—1111133H. Kulishov—56110
WMar 12 · 05:05S. Khandetskyi—111311113H. Kulishov—1311761
WMar 10 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi—101111113H. Kulishov—129851
WMar 7 · 03:55S. Khandetskyi—1111213H. Kulishov—86190
WMar 6 · 02:25S. Khandetskyi—1111156113H. Kulishov—98171182
LMar 4 · 16:55S. Khandetskyi—1211138112H. Kulishov—1421111133
S. Khandetskyi10
LSep 7 · 16:55V. Kobets1.8311119113S. Khandetskyi1.83441181LSep 7 · 14:55O. Melashenko2.101311133S. Khandetskyi1.67116110WSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 19:55V. Kobets2.2510590H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 7 · 17:25P. Ishchyk2.20831191H. Kulishov1.6111115113LSep 7 · 15:25O. Naida1.7311119113H. Kulishov2.00361141LSep 7 · 13:25O. Melashenko2.2011611113H. Kulishov1.61711991WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590
Upcoming Matches
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