TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088983
Played Sep 7Finished
Vitalii Kobets
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114114911118––
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Kobets above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 69 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kobets 18–26 Serhii Khandetskyi Vitalii Kobets has won 18 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khandetskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-26 in 44
Khandetskyi
Wrong
gap of 8 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kobets 1493 vs Khandetskyi 1517
Khandetskyi
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kobets 40% vs Khandetskyi 60%
Khandetskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kobets 40% vs Khandetskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kobets +1 · Khandetskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khandetskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kobets form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 1.83 / Khandetskyi 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khandetskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088983
Kobets1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Khandetskyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKobets5wins
AwayKhandetskyi5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKobets100%4 of 4
AwayKhandetskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kobets4Khandetskyi6n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S2Kobets7Khandetskyi3n = 10Kobets took 7 of 10
S3Kobets6Khandetskyi4n = 10Kobets took 6 of 10
S4Kobets4Khandetskyi2n = 6Kobets took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKobetsKhandetskyiKobets − KhandetskyiBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.132.1+5.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 876 vs 395 / 79051.6%50%452 / 876 vs 395 / 790Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiKobets 1.83/Khandetskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kobets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets—1010111112S. Khandetskyi—121239113
WAug 27 · 01:55V. Kobets—1111113S. Khandetskyi—5220
WAug 24 · 17:55V. Kobets—1111113S. Khandetskyi—9750
WAug 19 · 21:05V. Kobets—11118113S. Khandetskyi—941151
LAug 12 · 14:25V. Kobets—71291172S. Khandetskyi—1110116113
LAug 12 · 02:05V. Kobets—8990S. Khandetskyi—1111113
WAug 4 · 16:55V. Kobets—81111113S. Khandetskyi—114731
LAug 3 · 18:25V. Kobets—1011851S. Khandetskyi—12711113
LJul 14 · 22:35V. Kobets—671191S. Khandetskyi—11116113
WJul 6 · 18:25V. Kobets—1812113S. Khandetskyi—161020
V. Kobets10
LSep 7 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.671211113V. Kobets2.1010530WSep 7 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.831159121V. Kobets1.8361111143LSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LAug 31 · 19:55V. Kobets4.332490K. Hrynenko1.201111113WAug 31 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.20711491V. Kobets1.6111911113LAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113WAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 14:25V. Kobets2.00471151O. Melashenko1.7311116113WAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 01:35V. Kobets1.449118101A. Peretiatko2.6311411123
S. Khandetskyi10
LSep 7 · 14:55O. Melashenko2.101311133S. Khandetskyi1.67116110WSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113WSep 2 · 03:05O. Melashenko2.10111176102S. Khandetskyi1.67771111123LSep 2 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.25111111962D. Derevynskyi1.57871311113WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.83101161132Y. Stepanchuk1.83129116113LSep 1 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi2.501011118102K. Hrynenko1.50128811123WAug 31 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.007118121S. Khandetskyi1.7311711143LAug 31 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi2.2561030K. Hrynenko1.571112113WAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113
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